Tesla Gigafactory 4 job posting hints at battery cell production in Berlin


It appears that Tesla aims to produce its own battery cells in its Gigafactory 4, as suggested by reports based on a recent job posting on the electric car maker’s website.

Tesla is specifically looking to hire an innovative senior process engineering lead for its Europe Gigafactory and is looking for one who can use engineering fundamentals and a broad set of tools to solve technical problems.

The electric car manufacturer also added that the candidate must be able to “create novel detailed designs for a wide range of systems from electrolyte to high purity water, involving unit operations such as pump and compressor systems, reverse osmosis, distillation, heat transfer fluid systems, etc.”

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German publication Teslamag spotted the job posting and speculates that the Gigafactory in Berlin will not only produce vehicles and battery packs but also help develop and produce its own battery cells. It added that it also received information from an insider that there will be an “interesting surprise” in connection with Gigafactory 4.

While battery cell production in the upcoming factory remains a rumor for now, it won’t be much of a surprise if it is indeed the plan of Musk and his team. After all, Gigafactories going beyond local vehicle production means better resource utilization, which further helps Tesla be more cost-competitive. Developing its own battery cells will also allow Tesla to better control the prices of its electric vehicles, which could open the gates for cheaper electric vehicles for consumers.

The Europe Gigafactory is expected to initially create 3,000 jobs but may later increase that number to 8,000. Initial reports estimate the annual production of the company to hit 150,000 vehicles. In mid-November, CEO Elon Musk announced that Giga Berlin will build batteries, powertrains, and vehicles, starting with Model Y.

Last week, reports emerged that Tesla is in the finishing touches of completing the contract to buy the site for Gigafactory Berlin and expects to accomplish this before the year ends. Tesla plans to start production of Model Y in the Europe Gigafactory as early as 2021.

Earlier this year, Tesla acquired battery company Maxwell Technologies and the move was seen as a way to lessen its dependence on partners such as Panasonic. While it is unlikely that the electric car maker will cut its ties with its battery suppliers soon, reports that surfaced in November suggest that Tesla is continuing its initiatives to produce battery cells in-house.

H/T to Teslamag and Electrive

Tesla Gigafactory 4 job posting hints at battery cell production in Berlin

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SpaceX announces second Starlink satellite launch in two weeks


SpaceX has announced its second planned Starlink satellite in two weeks, sticking to a trend that could see the company launch more than a thousand communications satellites over the next 12 months.

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Barely two weeks after SpaceX opened media accreditation for Starlink-2, the second launch of finalized ‘v1.0’ satellites and third dedicated launch overall, the company has announced that that late-December mission will be followed by another Starlink launch in January 2020. This tracks almost exactly with SpaceX’s reported plans for as many as 24 dedicated Starlink launches in 2020, a feat that would singlehandedly break SpaceX’s current record of 21 launches performed in a single year.

As previously discussed on Teslarati, SpaceX opened media accreditation for Starlink-2 on November 24th, confirming that the company hopes to complete one more 60-satellite Starlink launch before the end of 2019. That mission is currently targeted no earlier than (NET) late-December and would be SpaceX’s last launch of 2019 if current schedules hold.

Regardless of when it happens, there’s a strong chance that the 60 Starlink-2 satellites will make SpaceX the world’s largest individual satellite operator, potentially raising the number of satellites under the company’s command to ~170. According to SpaceX’s announcement, Starlink-3 – another 60-satellite mission – is now scheduled to launch no earlier than January 2020. If Starlink-2 is successful and no more v0.9 spacecraft drop out of the operational constellation, it can be said with certainty that Starlink-3 will unequivocally make SpaceX the world’s largest satellite operator.

Incredibly, if those schedules hold, SpaceX will have gone from two satellites in orbit to the world’s largest satellite constellation operator – by a large margin – in as few as nine months. In fact, after cresting that peak, it will take nothing short of a miracle for SpaceX to be usurped. The company hopes to launch as many as 24 Starlink missions in 2020 and is simply miles ahead of its competitors in its efforts to make high-performance orbital launches as efficient and affordable as possible.

If SpaceX and its executives are to be believed, as early as the very first dedicated Starlink launch (May 2019), the cost of launching Falcon 9 was already significantly less than the cost of its payload of 60 Starlink v0.9 satellite prototypes. CEO Elon Musk and COO Gwynne Shotwell have strongly implied that the per-satellite cost is already well below $500,000, meaning that the absolute worst-case internal cost of a Falcon 9 launch is less than $30M.

If, for example, each Starlink satellite already costs as little as $250,000 to build, it’s possible that SpaceX can already launch a dedicated 60-satellite mission (including launch costs) at an internal cost of less than $30M ($15M for launch, $15M for 60 satellites). Even in the former scenario, a single Starlink launch might cost SpaceX has little as $60M in total.

In a best-case scenario for megaconstellation competitor OneWeb, the company purchased up to 21 Soyuz launches from Roscosmos for “more than $1 billion”, translating to roughly $50 million per launch (rocket costs only). Meanwhile, OneWeb’s satellite design is far more traditional and Soyuz offers significantly less performance than Falcon 9, resulting in a cap of 34 ~150 kg (330 lb) per launch. Finally, OneWeb hopes to build each satellite for about $1M, translating to a best-case per-launch cost of ~$85 million. OneWeb aims to launch once per month after its first 34-satellite mission, currently NET January 30th, 2020.

OneWeb’s preliminary satellite production line. (OneWeb)

This is all a very roundabout way of illustrating the fact that once SpaceX becomes the world’s largest satellite operator, nothing short of repeated launch failures or the company’s outright collapse will prevent it from retaining that crown for the indefinite future. Once OneWeb has completed all 21 of its planned Soyuz launches, a milestone unlikely to come before mid-2021, it will have a constellation of ~700 satellites.

Even if SpaceX falters and manages a monthly Starlink launch cadence over the next 13 months, the constellation could surpass OneWeb’s Phase 1 plans as early as Q3 2020 – up to as early as June 2020 if SpaceX manages a biweekly cadence. By the time OneWeb’s constellation is complete, SpaceX could potentially have more than 2000 operational satellites in orbit – perhaps ~600 metric tons of spacecraft compared to OneWeb’s ~100 metric tons.

Check out Teslarati’s newsletters for prompt updates, on-the-ground perspectives, and unique glimpses of SpaceX’s rocket launch and recovery processes.

SpaceX announces second Starlink satellite launch in two weeks

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Tesla Cybertruck’s rear seat lever spotted hinting at extra cabin storage space


Tesla’s Cybertruck may come with a folding rear seat, a feature that will be welcomed by pickup truck fans looking for more utility and practicality from their all-electric pickup.

Tony Merriman from Ohio spotted the latch in the Cybertruck’s second-row and suggested the possibility of folding rear seats, which may flip up or fold down to more storage space in the cabin. The Tesla enthusiast used an image of another pickup truck to clearly demonstrate his idea. This feature may come useful for those who will need more space beyond the vehicle’s large “vault” and other storage slots.

Cybertruck Folding Rear Seat (Source: Tony Merriman | Facebook)
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A clearer snapshot of the Cybertruck’s rear seat latch was captured by Twitter user @justpaulinelol:

Folding rear seats or rear benches are common features for popular pickup trucks in the United States. This feature can be seen in vehicles such as the Ram 1500 and the Ford F-250 Superduty XLT. The Ram 1500 offers interior storage of 151.1 liters and this includes in-floor storage for some Crew Cab models. The Ford F-250, meanwhile, offers fold-flat lockable storage with its rear bench seat.

The Tesla Cybertruck will come with some hidden features such as center-fold down front seat, a pass-through for extra-long cargo, storage underneath the vault bed, and more. CEO Elon Musk has also confirmed that the all-electric truck will also be able to carry extended-length cargo with a flip stop feature on its tailgate.

Tesla has promised that the Cybertruck will deliver in both function and performance, from its dystopian design to its 0-60 mph time of 2.9 seconds for its top-tier model. Its entry level variant will have a towing capacity of more than 7,500 lbs. While the top-tier Tri Motor AWD unit will boast of over 14,000 lbs. of towing power.

The Cybetruck Tri Motor AWD will set buyers back $69,900. The Single Motor Rear-Wheel Drive will have a tag price of $39,900 and its Dual Motor sibling will go for $49,000. The Tri-Motor and Dual-Motor variants will start production in 2021 while the entry-level Cybertruck hits the production line in 2022.

Tesla Cybertruck’s rear seat lever spotted hinting at extra cabin storage space

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Watch Tesla Cybertruck accelerate like it’s a supercar with Elon Musk driving


New footage of Elon Musk’s night out in a Tesla Cybertruck gives us a better real-word look of the massive truck’s insanely quick acceleration, with an out-of-this-world look.

The video was captured sometime on the evening of December 7 by Instagram user Andrew Villablanca and follows dozens of sightings from that night of the Tesla CEO taking friends out to Nobu in Malibu, CA. In the 40-second clip of the truck navigating on both highway and city streets, Musk displays the vehicle’s acceleration as he leaves the famed sushi restaurant off of the Pacific Coast Highway.

Still in shock that he saw the truck first-hand, Villablanca could only express that the truck was “absolutely massive and very quick.” The Dual Motor Cybertruck prototype being driven by Musk features a 4.5 second 0-60 MPH time, while a tri-motor variant will stop the clocks at a blistering 2.9 seconds.

Also noticeable in the video is the truck’s self-presenting door handles in an outward position, although they’re meant to retract like that of the Tesla Model S.

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The truck has been sighted on numerous occasions since its notably-public unveiling on November 21, giving anyone who sees it a glimpse of what the massive vehicle will look like on the road. Following the unveiling event, the truck received mixed reviews but also accrued over 250,000 pre-orders from people who want to own the one-of-a-kind electric pickup.

The truck’s Dual-Motor and Tri-Motor All-Wheel Drive variants will begin production in 2021, with the Single-Motor Rear-Wheel Drive variant available the following year in 2022. The Cybertruck will have a starting price of $39,900 for the Single Motor, $49,900 for the Dual-Motor and $69,900 for the Tri-Motor variant that also features a 2.9 second 0-60 MPH time. All of the trims will come standard with Autopilot and an Adaptive Air Suspension feature, something that Musk wanted to include after watching a Ford pickup become inoperable following an attempt to carry a 3,000-lb payload.

Watch Tesla Cybertruck accelerate like it’s a supercar with Elon Musk driving

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Elon Musk hints at more compact Tesla Cybertruck with same space and utility


Tesla CEO Elon Musk has hinted that the Cybertruck might have more compact dimensions when it rolls out in 2021. The idea came after a Tesla owner-enthusiast’s video showed that the Cybertruck may not fit in a normal, residential-sized garage. Based on the Tesla CEO’s recent tweets, it appears that Tesla may be able to shave off a few inches off the Cybertruck’s rather bulky body without compromising anything in terms of utility and looks.

Musk’s comments came after Model 3 owner Tesla Raj posted a video featuring an augmented reality app estimating how the Cybertruck would look like in a target area. When Raj used the app to see if it would fit in his garage, he found the 231.8 inch-long Cybertruck was just a bi too long for the space in his home.

Musk responded to these findings, stating that the Cybertruck could receive a design revision that would make the car a bit easier to fit in a traditional American garage. “We can prob reduce width by an inch & maybe reduce length by 6+ inches without losing on utility or aesthetics. Min height is below 75 inches when air suspension set to low. Will post exact number soon,” Musk said.

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Based on Musk’s tweet, the more compact Cybertruck would have a width of 78.8 inches instead of the original 79.8 inches, and its length will be reduced to to 225.7 inches from 231.7 inches. This should make the Cybertruck easier to fit even in 20×20 garages. Parking the vehicle and maneuvering the massive all-electric machine would likely be easier as well. What’s more remarkable is the Tesla CEO explained that these reductions won’t cause any compromises with the vehicle’s stellar utility and iconic aesthetics. Musk has also promised no loss in cargo capacity or interior space with the vehicle’s more compact size.

After providing some updates on the Cybertruck’s dimensions, Musk also received a question about the approximate size of the “smaller” Cybertruck that he has hinted at in the past. Musk stated that such a vehicle would likely require a full redesign, though he noted that the truck’s dimensions will “probably (be) ~73 inches (height) or ~185 cm width”. This is compared to its 75-inch height when the vehicle’s adaptive suspension is fully-lowered, and its 202.7 cm width in its current build. Such a vehicle will still be significantly smaller to the Cybertruck, even considering Elon Musk’s more compact projections.

That being said, it seems that a significant portion of the Tesla community prefers the Cybertruck in its current, massive form. A few followers of Musk’s Twitter account even stated that the Cybertruck will never need to be parked in a garage anyway, as its stainless steel design is “completely impervious to weather” and that its solar-equipped tonneau cover begs to be exposed to the sun at all times. Musk, for his part, appears to be weighing both sides when it comes to the Cybertruck’s size.

A new Cybertruck design that that is more compact could prove to be beneficial for Tesla in the long run. While the company has already received at least a quarter-of-a-million pre-orders for the original design for the truck, a smaller version may entice those who were worried about the size of the truck to pull the trigger and buy Tesla’s first pickup. The smaller design will appeal to those who are interested in parking the all-electric powerhouse in their garage, or at least those who want a pickup but prefer a smaller design that would be easier to drive through narrow streets and easier to park in busy lots.

Elon Musk hints at more compact Tesla Cybertruck with same space and utility

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Tesla’s Virtual Power Plant rescues grid after coal peaker fails, and it’s only 2% finished


Tesla’s Virtual Power Plant project in South Australia is only around ~2% complete, but it is already proving to be a difference-maker, rescuing Queensland’s grid during an unexpected power outage. The response time and efficiency of the Virtual Power Plant mirror that of Tesla’s other large-scale energy project in the region, the highly-acclaimed Hornsdale Power Reserve. 

Back in October, Queensland’s Kogan Creek coal power station, one of the largest in the region, tripped and caused the power system to drop well below the normal level of system frequency. Tesla’s Virtual Power Plant promptly stepped in, detecting the frequency drop and injecting power into the grid from Powerwall batteries loaded with energy from solar panels installed in SA Housing Trust properties across the state. 

In a statement about the VPP’s feat, South Australia Energy Minister Dan van Holst Pellekaan highlighted the fact that Tesla’s Virtual Power Plant is still in its early days. Despite this, it was able to respond quickly. The feat was no joke, considering that the Kogan Creek station is a fairly large coal power plant. “Although the Virtual Power Plant is in its early days, it is already demonstrating how it can provide the network support traditionally performed by large conventional generators,” he said

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The Energy Minister’s statement is notable, considering that there are only about 900 homes forming the Virtual Power Plant as of date. Tesla’s target for the full VPP is a whopping 50,000 solar-powered, Powerwall-equipped homes. If less than 2% of the planned Virtual Power Plant can already rescue Queensland’s grid when a large coal plant fails, one can only imagine how much stability a fully-completed VPP could accomplish. 

Violette Mouchaileh, the executive general manager of emerging markets and services for the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO), expressed her optimism about the potential of Tesla’s Virtual Power Plant. “The SA VPP has proven the aggregation of distributed energy resources can benefit the power system and participating consumers. The opportunity for VPPs to reach a large scale will benefit all energy users through added competition to deliver services at reducing prices. We encourage more VPPS to register to accelerate the shared learning on how to safely and efficiently integrate, operate and regulate these emerging technologies into the NEM,” she said.

The buildout of Tesla’s Virtual Power Plant in South Australia is expected to be completed in three phases. In Phase 1, energy systems will be delivered to 100 SA Housing properties. Phase 2 increases this number with an additional 1,000 homes equipped with solar panels and Powerwall batteries. Phase 3, provided that it does push through, would expand the system to 50,000 homes. So far, Phase 1 has been completed, and Phase 2 appears to be nearing completion as well. 

Once complete, Tesla’s Virtual Power Plant in South Australia will deliver 250MW of solar energy and store 650 MWh of backup energy for the region. That’s notably larger than the Hornsdale Power Reserve, which is already changing South Australia’s energy landscape with its 100MW/129MWh capacity. In a way, Tesla’s Virtual Power Plant may prove to be a dark horse for the company’s Energy Business, which is unfortunately underestimated most of the time. Couple this with the 50% expansion of the Hornsdale Power Reserve, and Tesla Energy might very well be poised to surprise in the coming quarters.

Tesla’s Virtual Power Plant rescues grid after coal peaker fails, and it’s only 2% finished

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GM and LG Chem announce landmark partnership to accelerate the EV transition


Veteran American automaker General Motors and Korean battery technology company LG Chem have announced a $2.3 billion partnership that would begin the development of electric car batteries.

The joint venture will bring a new battery manufacturing plant to Lordstown, Ohio. Lordstown was previously the location of a GM plant that was active from 1966 until March 2019, when GM shut down the factory due to declining sedan sales. The decline in sedan sales was attributed to the United States’ increasing demand for crossovers and sport utility vehicles.

The plant “will use the most advanced manufacturing processes” to efficiently create battery systems without producing excessive waste, an issue that comes with lithium-ion production. The partnership between GM and LG Chem is expected to create more than 1,100 new jobs according to a press release from GM.

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“With this investment, Ohio and its highly capable workforce will play a key role in our journey toward a world with zero emissions,” Mary Barra, the Chairwoman and CEO of GM, said. “Combining our manufacturing expertise with LG Chem’s leading battery-cell technology will help accelerate our pursuit of an all-electric future. We look forward to collaborating with LG Chem on future cell technologies that will continue to improve the value we deliver to our customers.”

LG Chem has produced batteries for Chevrolet’s electric hatchback, the Bolt. LG Chem has also worked with a wide selection of automakers, including Ford, Hyundai, Volvo, Volkswagen, and is reportedly working with Tesla’s Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai. LG Chem will provide the 2170 lithium-ion battery cells for the Model 3 and Model Y, both vehicles that will be produced at Gigafactory 3.

GM plans to have at least twenty different electric vehicles on the road by 2023. The automaker is also aiming to utilize new production technology to decrease the cost of lithium-ion batteries, thus bringing down the price of its electric cars. A new Chevy Bolt’s current price is set at around $36,620, which is slightly more expensive than the off-menu Standard Range Model 3 without basic Autopilot. The Lordstown plant is expected to have an annual capacity of more than 30 gigawatt-hours.

The news of the partnership gives the impression that GM is planning for a large push into the electric vehicle market. After all, Barra said herself that the company is planning for an all-electric future. With the company positioning its new plant with LG Chem in the United States, America’s oldest car manufacturer seems to recognize the increasing popularity of electric cars, along with the environmental advantages that come with them.

GM and LG Chem announce landmark partnership to accelerate the EV transition

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Tesla readies for first Made-in-China Model 3 deliveries, updates online configurator messaging


Tesla is gearing up for the first deliveries of its “Made in China” Model 3.

Local customers have noticed that Tesla’s China-specific Model 3 configurator has been updated with the removal of language that translates to, “MIC Model 3 is subject to regulatory approval.” The update comes after the Chinese government officially recommended the Model 3 for its electric vehicle incentive, giving buyers as much as $3,550 off the price of the car.

Additionally, following Tesla’s confirmation of a permit to sell its China-manufactured mass-market electric car, carriers loaded with Model 3 and a holding area full of Model 3 inventory were spotted at Gigafactory 3, further supporting speculation that the carmaker is preparing to make its first customer deliveries in the country.

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Tesla’s focus on the Chinese market is important to the future of the company. China has the largest automotive market in the world according to a report from nolasia.net. In 2015, Chinese citizens bought 24.6 million vehicles, 7.5 million more units than the second closest vehicle market in the United States. The locally-produced Model 3 will cost around $50,000 USD or 355,800 Chinese Yuan.

China could be a major key to the growth of Tesla’s international market. With the help of the Chinese government, Tesla was able to open Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai in an area where the company would not be impacted by tariffs set into place between the United States and China. Thanks to Gigafactory 3, Tesla will be able to compete in the local Chinese market with Model 3 and Model Y variants that are more aggressively-priced than their imported counterparts.

“Tesla has the first wholly-owned manufacturing facility in China of any automotive company. So, this is profound. And we’re very appreciative of the Chinese government allowing us to do this. I think it is symbolic of them wanting to open the market and apply and it farewells to everyone. I’d just say like an order of appreciation for the Chinese government in allowing us to do that. It’s a very significant thing,” Tesla CEO Elon Musk said during an earnings call in January 2019.

Tesla readies for first Made-in-China Model 3 deliveries, updates online configurator messaging

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Tesla (TSLA) shows strength amid impending Made-in-China Model 3 deliveries, Cybertruck sightings


Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA) is showing some strength on Tuesday amid reports hinting that deliveries of the Made-in-China Model 3 may be starting sooner than expected. Apart from this, interest in the Tesla Cybertruck remains high weeks after the vehicle’s unveiling, thanks to sightings of the upcoming pickup and Elon Musk’s recent trip to Malibu, CA. 

As the year ends, things appear to be settling for Tesla. Following its breakout recovery in the third quarter, a lot of what was once deemed as potential issues are starting to melt away. CEO Elon Musk recently won a defamation case filed against him by a British caver who mocked and insulted the efforts of SpaceX engineers during the height of the Thai cave rescue. Alexander Potter, an analyst at Piper Jaffray, also shared some optimistic expectations for the company, raising his TSLA price target to $423 and dubbing the electric car maker’s shares as a “must-have.”

Yet, if there is one aspect of Tesla’s business that seems poised to make a big difference for the electric car maker, it would be the progress of its Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai, China. Tesla’s China push has beat expectations pretty much at every turn, with the electric car maker’s targets being met and exceeded by its Chinese construction partner and regulators. From Gigafactory 3’s construction of its Phase 1 zone, which would allow the company to start producing the Made-in-China Model 3, to the quick processing of permits with regulators, Tesla China has proceeded at near-ludicrous speed. 

(Credit: Jay In Shanghai/Twitter)
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Recent reports from China indicate that not only was Tesla already starting the mass production of the MIC Model 3 in its Shanghai-based plant; it is also poised to begin initial deliveries soon. Just days after receiving its final sales license, car carrier trucks loaded with Model 3 were spotted in Gigafactory 3 premises, with the vehicles reportedly being sent to Tesla delivery centers in select areas of the country. Drone flyovers of the Gigafactory 3 area also revealed over 300 MIC Model 3 in Gigafactory 3’s parking lots, ready for delivery. 

Apart from Gigafactory 3’s steady progress, Tesla’s recently unveiled pickup truck continues to reach more and more people. Thanks to the Cybertruck’s design, the vehicle has captured the interest even of individuals who would normally have no interest whatsoever in pickups at all. Over the weeks since the vehicle’s unveiling, the Cybertruck has inspired countless memes, fan-made video trailers, and cool DIY projects. That doesn’t count viral videos of the Cybertruck’s sightings either. This weekend, for example, the Cybertruck was spotted in Malibu being driven by none other than Elon Musk, and the vehicle attracted a ton of attention. 

Tesla Cybertruck at Nobu restaurant in Malibu, California
Tesla Cybertruck at Nobu restaurant in Malibu, California (Photo: v2rocxket/Reddit)

While Musk has stated that the Cybertruck is pretty much like an acid test for Tesla, the vehicle seems poised to be a big hit for the electric car maker. Over 250,000 reservations have been filed for the vehicle as per Musk’s most recent update, and more and more people are warming up to the futuristic pickup. Among them is Piper Jaffray’s Alexander Potter, who noted that prior to the Cybertuck’s unveiling, he was skeptical that Tesla could move the needle in the pickup segment. The analyst noted that it did not take long before his perception of the vehicle began to change. 

“The more we looked, the more we began considering the possibility that ALL OTHER pickup trucks might actually be pretty crummy, and that Tesla’s Cybertruck is the only pickup worth ordering,” he wrote

Overall, Tesla may be looking at steadier waters ahead. From June, when TSLA stock was trading at 52-week lows, the company has rebounded by almost 92% and $29 billion on forecasts of rising profits, market share, and steady demand for its vehicles like the Model 3 and its crossover sibling, the upcoming Model Y. If Tesla can end 2019 on a strong note, 2020 may very well be more welcoming to the electric car maker than this very challenging year.

Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.

Tesla (TSLA) shows strength amid impending Made-in-China Model 3 deliveries, Cybertruck sightings

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SpaceX Crew Dragon In-Flight Abort test gets its first firm launch date


The day after questions arose around the targeted launch date of SpaceX’s Crew Dragon In-Flight Abort test (IFA), SpaceX and NASA have officially set the date for the spacecraft’s next major flight test.

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On Friday, December 6th, a NASA Commercial Crew Program blog post confirmed a NET date of Saturday, January 4th, 2020 for the IFA test. The IFA test is one of the most notable final steps to be completed by the Crew Dragon capsule prior to supporting crewed astronaut flight to the International Space Station in 2020 as a part of NASA’s Commercial Crew Program.

Following an apparent incorrect statement made during SpaceX’s CRS-19 webcast that identified a February 2020 target date of the IFA test, SpaceX provided re-assurance that teams were very much still working toward a NET December launch date.

The SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket with the company’s Crew Dragon spacecraft onboard is seen on the launch pad at Launch Complex 39A as preparations continue for the Demo-1 mission, Friday, March 1, 2019 at the Kennedy Space Center in Florida. (NASA/Joel Kowsky)

A January 4th date falls just short of SpaceX’s December goal but it still comes as little surprise. In addition to this week’s CRS-19 launch, SpaceX aims to support two more launches prior to year’s end – an internal mission to launch 60 more Starlink satellites and the launch of the JCSAT 18/Kacific 1 communications satellite for customers SKY Perfect JSAT Corp. of Japan and Kacific Broadband Satellites of Singapore. While completing four Falcon 9 launches and landings in a period of less than four weeks is certainly possible for SpaceX, it was rather ambitious, especially given that Crew Dragon’s abort test is almost certainly the company’s preeminent priority.

The targeted January launch date now encroaches into the first quarter of 2020, which SpaceX has adamantly stated is also the goal for Crew Dragon’s first NASA astronaut launch, known as Demo-2. With the IFA test now NET January 4th, it will be a major challenge for NASA and SpaceX to turn around and prepare Crew Dragon and Falcon 9 for Demo-2 just 4-12 weeks later. Of note, Boeing is preparing its own Starliner spacecraft for an uncrewed launch test NET December 20th and has also claimed that it wants to launch a crewed flight test (CFT, akin to SpaceX Demo-2) as early as February 2020, same as SpaceX.

It’s extremely unlikely that NASA will be able to preserve both of those schedules given the Commercial Crew Program’s fixed workforce and the vast quantity of paperwork it must complete before the agency can give the go-ahead for SpaceX and Boeing astronaut launches.

(Pauline Acalin)
Crew Dragon lifts off atop Falcon 9 B1051 for the first time ever on March 2nd, 2019. (Teslarati – Pauline Acalin)

Unsurprisingly, the blog post confirmed that the IFA test would launch from Kennedy Space Center Launch Complex 39A (LC-39A). Pad 39A is the same facility that previously supported Crew Dragon’s March 2019 Demo-1 launch debut and is the only pad SpaceX intends to launch Crew Dragon from.

Interestingly, Pad 39A is also an active construction site – SpaceX is in the midst of building a new launch mount and modifying existing facilities to support future launches of SpaceX’s next-generation Starship vehicle. Construction has been underway for a few months and is situated directly beside Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy’s exiting launch mount.

Although that construction will not be allowed to interfere with Crew Dragon launch activity, including the IFA test, construction on the Starship mount will likely be impacted. Construction crews will undoubtedly be expected to evacuate the area surrounding the launchpad during any Falcon 9 static fire test or launch, likely translating to a few days to a few weeks of downtime depending on how SpaceX handles the scheduling.

As 2019 comes to a close, SpaceX remains determined to launch Crew Dragon’s IFA test as quickly as is safely possible. If all goes perfectly during the upcoming abort test, SpaceX says it is seriously targeting Crew Dragon’s biggest test yet – its inaugural astronaut launch – less than two months later in February 2020. It should go without saying that that schedule is incredibly ambitious and highly liable to slip in March or Q2, but if the ambition is there, SpaceX believes it is technically possible.

For now, we have less than a month to wait for Crew Dragon’s next launch milestone and perhaps just 2-3 weeks before the spacecraft and its Falcon 9 rocket roll out to Pad 39A to prepare for a routine static fire test.

Check out Teslarati’s newsletters for prompt updates, on-the-ground perspectives, and unique glimpses of SpaceX’s rocket launch and recovery processes.

SpaceX Crew Dragon In-Flight Abort test gets its first firm launch date

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