LNG: TESLARATI

On the heels of a brand new animation simulating the spacecraft’s next orbital launch milestone, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a tentative schedule for Crew Dragon’s astronaut launch debut.

Known as Demo-2, short for Crew Dragon’s second orbital demonstration mission, the launch could make SpaceX the first commercial company in history to send astronauts to space (i.e. orbit), as well as the first private company to deliver astronauts to the International Space Station (ISS). If things go as planned over the next several months, that should kick off a new era where NASA will routinely rely on SpaceX (and Boeing) to ensure that the US has a continued presence in space.

The International Space Station has been continuously crewed by astronauts since October 31st, 2000, representing nearly two decades that humanity has had an uninterrupted presence in space. Supported by regular NASA Space Shuttle and Russian Soyuz launches that enabled space agencies to safely send astronauts to and from the space station, SpaceX’s Crew Dragon and Boeing’s Starliner are nearly ready to pick up the torch that NASA and the United States fumbled when the Shuttle was prematurely canceled in 2011.

Over the last five years, SpaceX has been working tirelessly to design, build, and test Crew Dragon – all in the name of ensuring that it will be one of the most reliable and capable human-rated spacecraft ever flown once it begins taking astronauts to and from the ISS. As with almost all human-rated spacecraft in history, Crew Dragon’s development has not been without its hurdles and detours, ranging from challenges with the spacecraft’s parachute recovery systems to a catastrophic capsule explosion during thruster testing.

As a result, SpaceX has put extra effort into optimizing and redesigning Crew Dragon’s many subsystems to ensure that all work exactly as intended. Thankfully, all of Crew Dragon’s development hurdles have occurred during testing specifically designed to reveal such problems, meaning that no humans have been harmed (or killed) over the course of the program. In the history of human spaceflight, it has often been the case that catastrophic spacecraft failure modes are only discovered after operational flights began, resulting in the deaths of numerous astronauts during Soyuz, Space Shuttle, and SpaceShipTwo – as well as three NASA astronauts during Apollo 1 ground testing.

Spaceflight is nevertheless a dangerous endeavor, at least for the time being, so it’s entirely possible that Crew Dragon will ultimately suffer accidents or failures during crewed missions, evidenced most recently by Starliner’s failure to reach the space station during the Boeing’s spacecraft’s first orbital launch. Still, both companies are working hard to ensure that even in the event of a failure, their spacecraft are able to protect their astronaut passengers and safely return them to Earth.

In line with that, SpaceX (unlike Boeing) opted to perform a live In-Flight Abort (IFA) test with Crew Dragon before allowing the spacecraft to begin astronaut launches. Scheduled to launch as early as January 11th, SpaceX will launch a Dragon spacecraft atop Falcon 9 and simulate a rocket failure during the most stressful point of launch. If Crew Dragon can fire up its abort thrusters and whisk its hypothetical passengers to safety, chances are that the spacecraft will be able to do the same at any other point during launch – from before liftoff all the way to orbit.

SpaceX has been developing its first human-rated spacecraft since it began build Cargo Dragon more than a decade ago – all paths for the company have ultimately pointed towards human spaceflight. According to CEO Elon Musk, the Crew Dragon spacecraft and Falcon 9 launch vehicle assigned to support the company’s inaugural astronaut launch will be in Florida and ready for flight as early as February 2020, a few-month delay compared to the often overly-optimistic executive’s previous Nov/Dec 2019 target.

Although the hardware could be ready to launch three months (or less) from now, Musk believes that the NASA preflight reviews that must follow will likely take “a few more months” – unfortunately likely given that Crew Dragon’s uncrewed launch debut (Demo-1) was likely ready for flight almost two months before NASA finally cleared SpaceX to launch.

Ultimately, as long as Crew Dragon’s IFA test goes well next month, it’s likely that the spacecraft will launch twice in the first half of 2020, potentially making history sometime in the second quarter.

Check out Teslarati’s newsletters for prompt updates, on-the-ground perspectives, and unique glimpses of SpaceX’s rocket launch and recovery processes.

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As Tesla awaits the green light to begin ground clearing on the Gigafactory 4 site in Grünheide in the Oder-Spree district, Economics Minister of Brandenburg Jorg Steinbach expressed his excitement about the positive impact that the upcoming electric vehicle facility will bring to the region.

“I am optimistic that young people from all over Germany and far beyond want to take part in this project,” Steinbach said in an interview with German publication Der Tagesspiegel. The minister added that it will be a win-win situation, with Tesla selling electric cars in the region and the community getting future-proof jobs that offer excellent working conditions and good wages.

The Gigafactory in Eastern Germany will rise on a 741-acre property and is projected to produce 250,000 vehicles per year during its initial phase and will eventually ramp up to 500,000 units and then 750,000 annually. The facility is expected to initially generate jobs for 4,000 people working in three shifts.

Aside from the all-out support of the government, locals also welcomed recent developments.

“It’s magnificent; it’s like Christmas coming early for our region. The region is not particularly known for its strong industry, so getting a Gigafactory will push future-oriented technologies such as battery production and autonomous driving,” said Carsten Bronstrup of Unternehmensverbände Berlin-Brandenburg (UVB), an association of companies in Berlin and Brandenburg.

Bonstrup emphasized how Tesla can help generate thousands of jobs if the plan materializes. The UVB representative also described how competition can help local car manufacturers explore new technological advances to help stand their ground.

Last week, the Economics Minister said that the deal between the electric carmaker and the German government is 95% secure and he expects the signing of the Gigafactory 4 contract to happen during the next few weeks. Tesla is still awaiting the approval of the Brandenburg state parliament’s budget committee. There’s also a pending review from the State Office for the Environment that will give the green light if Tesla is in accordance with the region’s Federal Emission Control Act.

With Teslas landing on the backyard of automotive giants such as BMW and Volkswagen, the local car manufacturers will definitely feel the pressure. As the U.S. electric car manufacturer proved in its Gigafactory 3 in China, it can turn barren land into an efficient production line in roughly 10 months. If all legal and environmental requirements will be ironed out soon, we may very well see the same thing happen in Germany. And if that will be the case, Tesla might just improve its share of the EV market in Europe.

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Tesla continued its strong push in the Netherlands with an impressive 1,011 registrations on Saturday, with the all-electric midsize Model 3 sedan leading the charge with 989 new entries in the books.

Aside from the Model 3, there were also 11 Model S and 11 Model X units added to the registry based on the data shared by Twitter user Morten Grove, known for his extensive Tesla-ship coverage and data analysis.

While the data on Tesla’s official number of deliveries are not out yet, electric vehicle data portal EU-EVs.com published its estimates that there are 11,679 Model 3, 276 Model S, and 277 Model X units registered in the Netherlands as of Dec. 28, 2019. These bring the Q4 2019 Tesla registrations in the country to 16,617 for the Model 3. Model X registrations were pegged at 473, and the Model S was pegged at 409.

The latest figures out of the Netherlands are essential when looking at the targets of Tesla as the electric car maker aims to deliver between 360,000 to 400,000 vehicles in 2019, a roughly 45-60% percent increase from its already impressive numbers from the previous year. The country has become the U.S. electric car maker’s biggest market in Europe, overtaking Norway earlier this month.

An image shared by Twitter user Professeur Tournesol also shows how busy Tesla was last Saturday:

The performance of Tesla in Europe is consistent with the company’s push in other markets. It just made its first deliveries of the first Model 3 units produced in China on Monday to local employees, a symbolic event to kick off the entry of its mass-produced sedan in the world’s largest EV market. Deliveries to local Chinese consumers are expected to follow soon. .

The surge in Tesla sales in The Netherlands may also be due to the Dutch government’s move of gradually increasing the Benefit-in-Kind (BIK) tax on all-electric vehicles to 22% by 2026. In 2019, the BIK for EVs was 4 percent up to a maximum of 50,000 euros and this will go up to 8% up to a maximum of 45,000 euros starting in January. This means that EV users would likely need to pay higher taxes for their green vehicles. This upswing in sales is again expected by the end of next year when the country prepares for the next round of BIK increase.

In September, Tesla also set a record in the Netherlands with 6,251 vehicles registered in Q3 2019. During the same period, the Model 3 also became the most popular vehicle in the country, surpassing the longtime European favorite, the Volkswagen Polo. Just last week, the Supreme Court of the Netherlands confirmed a ruling that mandates 25 percent emission reduction by the end of 2020. The country also requires all cars to be emission-free by the end of 2030.

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk is committed to ensuring the electric car maker meets its guidance of delivering 360,000 to 400,000 vehicles this year – so much that he’ll be assisting on vehicle deliveries on New Year’s Eve at the Fremont factory delivery hub.

Coming from a busy weekend in Boca Chica, Texas with the SpaceX team working on the Starship tank dome, the Tesla chief will brave the 2,000-mile journey back to the Tesla Delivery Center in Fremont to make sure he is one with the staff and community of owner-volunteers in making the last big push in the final day of the year.

“Headed to Tesla Fremont factory tomorrow to help with vehicle deliveries,” noted Musk over Twitter.

This won’t be the first time Elon Musk hand delivers a vehicle to a customer. Last June, Musk surprised a new Model 3 owner when he personally delivered a vehicle to their residence in a test of a new factory-direct system.

Elon Musk delivers Tesla Model 3 to owner’s home in test of factory-direct system

In September last year, the same remarkable thing happened when the community mobilized itself to help Elon Musk and Tesla get out of the so-called “delivery logistics hell.” The idea of volunteerism within the community was first pitched by Ride the Lightning podcast host Ryan McCaffrey and immediately greenlighted by Musk saying any help would be greatly appreciated.

During such a delivery push, Tesla volunteers help out new electric vehicle owners know the ins and outs of their vehicles from how to navigate the Tesla touchscreen, different settings that they should know, and even how to get their phones connected to the car.

It’s popping at the Fremont Delivery Center and our members are hard at work helping new owners understand how to use them. You will rarely see this many people in a dealership. @elonmusk 📸@rhoehn pic.twitter.com/p2z0z3InC9

— Tesla Owners Silicon Valley (@teslaownersSV) December 30, 2019

This sense of volunteerism is also not just in the United States. Last June, Tesla owner-volunteers in China banded together to help with end-of-Q2 deliveries.

Tesla owners getting involved in welcoming new EV owners during delivery blitzes, whether to end a quarter or a year, just proves the loyalty of the community and its oneness with the company’s mission of the brand to a more sustainable future.

It won’t be long before we begin to see this sense of community in the Chinese market as Tesla begins mass production of its China-made Model 3, followed by Germany where the company is currently locking up land for its European-based Gigafactory.

Did you capture a photo of Elon at the delivery center? Share it with us at tips@teslarati.com or DM via Twitter, Instagram, or Facebook!

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Confirmed yesterday morning by CEO Elon Musk, SpaceX has copied Tesla’s approach to factory expansion and is building a giant tent to upgrade its South Texas Starship production facilities.

A big step towards more traditional aerospace-style manufacturing facilities, SpaceX has contracted the same company used by Tesla to create a fourth general assembly line (GA4) in a giant tent outside its Fremont, CA factory in 2018. Instead of Model 3s, however, Sprung Instant Structures (Sprung for short) is rapidly raising a large tent that will eventually allow SpaceX to fabricate and weld more Starship parts and sections in an enclosed environment, an improvement from the current practice of building prototypes out in the harsh environment of coastal Texas.

In typical fashion, Musk believes that the new enclosed production facilities – just a collection of shipping crates as of December 18th – could be ready to begin manufacturing Starship parts as early as next month, and the progress Sprung has made makes it unusually hard to fault his optimism.

Likely taken in mid-December, aerial photos taken by pilot and photographer Sam Sun help sketch out a rough view of the prospective Starship factory. SpaceX appears to have almost entirely foregone a concrete foundation for the new tent, instead opting for lines of steel shipping containers that likely add a bit of height at the cost of structural stability.

.@BocaChicaGal covers the work at these sites extensively, but here’s a peek over the fence 😉 pic.twitter.com/0eDJp2agqr

— Sam Sun (@BirdsNSpace) December 29, 2019

According to figures printed right on one of Sprung Structures’ many shipments of materials, the initial building will measure approximately 45 meters (150 ft) wide, 77 meters (255 ft) long, and 18 meters (60 ft) tall. While Tesla’s GA4 tent is the same width and (mostly) height, it’s an impressive 280 meters (915 ft) long – almost four times bigger than SpaceX’s newest Boca Chica addition.

While the shipping container foundation is definitely a bit of a risk a mile from the Gulf of Mexico, it does mean that SpaceX might actually be able to move the shell of its new Starship factory if the need arises. SpaceX is in the midst of expanding its Boca Chica lots, potentially giving the company a lot more space to grow its enclosed factory down the road. The simplest possible expansion available would basically double the length of the existing structure, making it more like 150-180 meters (500-600 ft) long.

Regardless, even the current 150′ x 255′ enclosure will end up offering more than 38,000 ft² (3500 m²) of factory space once finished. Depending on what its primary purpose is, SpaceX could probably fit 5-8 stacks of 5-6 rings each (10-11m tall) down the center of the tent, with room for maybe 10-24 additional stacks of 2-3+ rings (3.5-5m tall) in the space remaining. The middle line of hypothetical rings could produce the entire barrel section of 1-2 Starships simultaneously, leaving perhaps 3-4 large sections to be welded together out in the elements or at SpaceX’s new wedge-shaped windbreak.

Of course, the facility will likely end up being mixed-use, potentially offering enough space to simultaneous fabricate all subsections of a single Starship prototype before they are assembled elsewhere.

Ultimately, Sprung is now in the process of installing a large quantity of insulation inside the tent’s walls, indicating that SpaceX’s South Texas welding crew may soon be blessed with a climate-controlled work environment. Meanwhile, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk believes that Boca Chica’s new tent could be complete and ready to begin building Starship hardware as soon as January 2020, while he says that the next Starship prototype – now known as Starship SN01 (serial number 01) – could be ready for flight testing just one or two months after that.

Check out Teslarati’s newsletters for prompt updates, on-the-ground perspectives, and unique glimpses of SpaceX’s rocket launch and recovery processes.

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On December 26th, SpaceX’s second-to-last Cargo Dragon spacecraft was photobombed in orbit by the shadow cast on Earth by a solar eclipse, likely a little over a week before the vehicle is set to reenter the atmosphere and splash down in the Pacific Ocean.

Cargo Dragon lifted off atop a rare new Falcon 9 booster – B1059 – on December 5th, carrying around 2600 kg (5800 lb) of cargo inside on the flight-proven capsules third launch into Earth orbit. After a quick three-day journey from its parking orbit to the International Space Station (ISS), Dragon was successfully captured by the station’s astronauts with a robotic arm and berthed to the orbital outpost, where the crew quickly unloaded its cargo of food, consumables, science, and equipment.

Shortly after liftoff, Falcon 9 B1059 completed its first successful landing – a bit of a surprise ordeal aboard drone ship Of Course I Still Love You (OCISLY) – and the relatively gentle reentry and trajectory should mean that the booster can be turned around almost immediately for its next launch. B1059 is thus a prime candidate for reuse on a future NASA mission and could very well support Cargo Dragon’s next space station resupply mission (CRS-20) as early as March 2020.

For a number of reasons, the spacecraft’s recent success is a touch bittersweet.

Notably, CRS-19 is the second to last orbital mission scheduled for SpaceX’s original Dragon spacecraft, which debuted in orbit in December 2010, becoming the first commercial spacecraft to successfully reenter and be recovered intact. Less than a year and a half later, Cargo Dragon became the world’s first commercial spacecraft to successful rendezvous and berth with the International Space Station (ISS).

The rest, as they say, is history. Five months later, SpaceX launched Cargo Dragon’s first official mission under NASA’s Commercial Resupply Services (CRS) program, known as CRS-1. Aside from a June 2015 launch vehicle failure that prevented Cargo Dragon from reaching orbit on its CRS-7 mission, SpaceX has successfully completed every resupply mission that managed to reach orbit, delivering more than 43 metric tons (95,000 lb) of supplies to the space station and the astronauts aboard it.

There have been several technical challenges over the years but every Cargo Dragon that reached orbit successfully completed its space station resupply mission and was recovered intact from the ocean surface after reentering Earth’s atmosphere. SpaceX has matured and improved almost every aspect of the spacecraft over the nine years it’s been flying, substantially upgrading its PICA-X heat shield, improving navigation sensors, upgrading its reusability, testing Crew Dragon and Starship hardware, and more.

Cargo Dragon has without a doubt been one of SpaceX’s biggest successes, combining with the company’s exceptionally capable and affordable Falcon 9 rocket to enable reliable cargo resupply missions, while also continuing to be the only way that NASA (or anyone alse) can return substantial non-human payloads back to Earth. Thankfully, although the spacecraft’s exceptional track record is set to come to an end after its next launch, the Cargo Dragon lineage will continue to supply the space station in the form of a modified version of Crew Dragon (i.e. Dragon 2).

On December 26th, SpaceX’s CRS-19 Cargo Dragon – attached to the International Space Station (ISS) – was photobombed by the shadow produced on Earth’s surface by an annular solar eclipse. With any luck, the spacecraft’s first upgraded successor will take over and begin orbital resupply launches as early as August 2020, setting SpaceX up for at least another four or so years of Dragon launches.

Check out Teslarati’s newsletters for prompt updates, on-the-ground perspectives, and unique glimpses of SpaceX’s rocket launch and recovery processes.

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