LNG: TESLARATI

With the arrival of the Model 3 and the eventual production of the Model Y in Gigafactory 4, Europe will need as many Tesla Superchargers as it can get. Fortunately, the electric car maker appears to be preparing for an influx of new electric car owners already, with the company expanding the Supercharger Network deeper into the Arctic Circle.

The Supercharger Network, which currently shows close to 16,000 Supercharging stalls worldwide at over 1,800 stations, already covers much of Europe. However, some parts of the Arctic Circle remain underserved, particularly in the northernmost regions of Sweden, Finland, and Norway. This latest expansion, which will include stations in Finnmark and Lapland, will allow electric car owners to travel with confidence even into the northernmost regions of Europe.

The sites that will host Tesla’s new Arctic Circle Superchargers have already been mapped by Tesla, though the electric car maker is yet to reveal if the new stations will be comprised of V3 stalls or its older V2 stations. Tesla is currently ramping its V3 network, though the majority of the company’s fast-chargers are still comprised of V2 chargers.

The expansion of the Supercharger Network further into the Arctic Circle is indicative of Tesla’s efforts to saturate the globe with a convenient system of rapid chargers for electric cars. The Supercharger Network is already notable for its speed and its reach, and in the United States, at least, it is really the only fast-charging infrastructure that can offer electric car owners a solid way to cross the country without much delays or difficulties. This is especially true with the advent of the V3 Superchargers, which have a peak output of 250 kW or 1,000 mph.

In a way, Tesla’s expansion into the Arctic bodes well for electric car owners in Europe’s northernmost regions. Teslas, after all, have proven popular in the region, thanks to their practicality and performance. The Model 3, for one, has become so popular in the Netherlands that it actually beat the Volkswagen Polo to become the country’s most popular car, electric or otherwise. The same is true for Norway, another country that has embraced the Model 3 fully.

Tesla has reached a point where it is gaining the capability to saturate the market with high-volume vehicles like the Model 3. The Model Y, which is coming next year, is expected to far outsell the Model 3, resulting in an even larger number of new electric car owners, most of whom will require a stable charging infrastructure for extended trips. For these needs, Tesla’s ever-growing Supercharger Network would most definitely be the answer.

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A Tesla Model Y release candidate was recently spotted on a car carrier truck just outside the electric car maker’s Palo Alto, CA, headquarters. Based on the features of the vehicle, this particular Model Y appears to have gone through some real-world tests.

The car was spotted by Twitter user @jzpchen, who took multiple photos of the Deep Blue Metallic Model Y and uploaded them to the social media platform. Unlike the first release candidates that have been spotted in the wild, this particular Model Y appears to be fully refined and almost ready for production. It’s even equipped with the same mysterious wheels that seem to be compatible with some aero covers.

Interestingly, the vehicle spotted in the photos looks to have a considerable amount of dust and dirt attached to it. This could indicate that this particular vehicle was not fresh from the factory in Fremont, but was instead used in road or even track testing. The car is also sporting a full “Chrome Delete” option that will come as standard. This cosmetic modification is one that is quite popular among Tesla owners, with many owners using aftermarket kits to black out their Model S, 3, and X.

The Model Y has been spotted road testing multiple times in recent months and the vehicle has been spotted sporting things like a tow hitch and a third row of seats. The sightings are an indication that Tesla may be gearing up to finalize the vehicle’s final detail before it enters production later this year.

The Model Y will be available in four different variants, including a Standard Range RWD version with 230 miles of range, a Long Range RWD option with 300 miles of range, as well as a Long Range AWD and a Long Range Performance trim, both of which sports 280 miles of range on a full charge.

Credit: Twitter/@jzpchen

Credit: Twitter/@jzpchen

Credit: Twitter/@jzpchen

The Standard Range option will cost $39,000, while the Long Range RWD, AWD, and Performance variants will cost $48,000, $52,000, and $61,000 respectively. But just like Tesla’s other vehicles, the higher the trim, the more performance one gets. The Performance option of the Model Y will go from 0-60 MPH in 3.5 seconds according to Tesla. Even the Standard Range RWD, the most conservatively-specced of the line, will get to 60 mph in 5.9 seconds. That’s still within muscle car territory.

Initially, the Model Y’s Long Range variants were due to begin delivery in Fall 2020. However, Tesla announced during its Q3 earnings call in 2019 that production was well ahead of schedule and that they would be able to begin deliveries in Summer 2020 instead. The Model Y also holds the distinction for being the first vehicle that will be produced at Tesla’s recently announced Gigafactory 4 in Berlin, Germany, which is expected to go online by late 2021.

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Tesla’s much-awaited Model Y has piqued the curiosity of green car aficionados but it has always been described as the chunkier sibling of the Model 3 sedan or the smaller next of kin of the Model X SUV. Recently, another prototype of the electric crossover was spotted in California and while it was covered, someone measured the height of the Model Y. It’s 65 inches tall, placing it right in the middle of its rivals in the premium crossover segment.

Redditor u/gamerlike took the initiative to inform Tesla fans asking about the dimensions of the Tesla Model Y he saw in Mountain View. If his measurements are accurate, the Model Y will just be an inch shorter than the Model X, which stands 66 inches. Meanwhile, the Model 3 electric sedan’s height is pegged at 56.8 inches.

Recently, there have been more and more sightings of Tesla Model Y release candidates across the United States. A white Model Y Performance variant sporting a seemingly production-ready exterior was seen in San Luis Obispo, CA. There was also a black Model Y with red brake calipers that was spotted cruising along the I-5 in Washington State.

As the market awaits the Tesla Model Y release date, one cannot help but be more excited and compare the all-electric crossover to its possible competitors.

The Tesla Model Y electric crossover will be offered in three variants. The Rear-Wheel Drive Long Range version will sell for $48,000 while a Dual Motor All-Wheel Drive Long Range will go for $52,000. The Performance version, meanwhile, will set customers back by $61,000. The electric carmaker has moved the production up from Fall 2020 to Summer 2020, or if speculations from the community are any indication, maybe even sooner.

Tesla positions the Model Y luxury crossover against other premium vehicles in its class such as the BMW X3, Audi Q5, or the Jaguar I-PACE. Likewise, it can be compared to more affordable competitors in the segment such as the Honda CR-V and Toyota RAV4.

Tesla Model Y’s competitors are almost the same height. For example, the BMW X3 is 66 inches high while the Audi Q5 is 65 inches and the Jaguar I-PACE is a bit shorter at 61 inches. Meanwhile, the more affordable Honda CR-V stands at 66-67 inches and the RAV4 is a bit taller at 67-68 inches.

Price-wise, the Model Y is comparable to its premium rivals as well. The X3 will go for almost $42,000, the Audi Q5 will sell for around $43,000, and the Jaguar I-PACE will be at the higher end of the spectrum at almost $70,000. The Honda CR-V, meanwhile, will set back customers by $25,000 and the RAV4 will sell for around $26,000.

If the height of the vehicle will be a basis, we can fairly say that the Model Y will be comfortable with ample headroom and enough legroom just like other vehicles in its class. However, the Model Y might have an X-factor — it has a seven-seat option. The X3, Q5, I-PACE, and the more affordable CR-V and RAV4 do not.

The EV world is awaiting a glimpse of the Model Y interior and a test drive to determine if the Model Y’s extra seats at the back really work. Nevertheless, the presence of more seats can convince some customers that it’s the vehicle that fits their needs. Ask every mom or dad who has to deal with World War III when traveling with kids who are sharing the passenger seats. Extra seats mean world peace.

As of October 2019, crossovers consist 40.4% of light vehicle sales in the US followed by pickup trucks (17.6%)  and small cars (11.6%) based on data compiled by Statista. The market has been shifting from sedans to compact SUVs for their good dose of comparable fuel efficiency with mid-sized cars and their higher seating positions.

One must take note that according to Tesla CEO Elon Musk, the Model Y will be sharing around 75% of the parts used for the Model 3. Expected demand for the Model Y is around 50 to 100% higher than the annual demand for the Model 3 as well. With the Model Y sharing the DNA of the Model 3, this might mean a more efficient production ramp.

Earlier this year, Forbes analyzed the potential of the Model Y for Tesla. Aside from the high demand stateside, one can only imagine how the Chinese and European markets would react to the electric crossover. In China, the Model 3 has created a loud buzz in the market, and it will likely serve as a catalyst to the country’s slumping automotive industry.

In Europe, the Gigafactory 4 in Brandenburg will play a crucial role in bringing Teslas to the region. Forbes predicts that Tesla will be able to deliver about 250,000 units of Model Y by 2022. According to the same analysis, the Model Y has the potential to bring in revenues amounting to $12 billion in the next 3 years.

While critics say the Tesla Model Y is just the chunkier version of the Model 3, it is clear that it has a ton of potential. It’s not a Cybertruck or a Roadster but it presents a good balance between form and function that really matters to car buyers, electric or otherwise.

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If electric vehicle sales can be likened to a drag race, it’s safe to say Tesla utterly slayed the competition in the Netherlands this year. The US electric car manufacturer closed Q4 with a bang by raking in 16,877 registrations and led other popular brands with a total of 30,882 electric vehicle registrations in 2019.

Toyota was in a far second with 14,824 cumulative EV (electrified) registrations in the Netherlands while Kia sold 9,369 units. Hyundai and Audi were in the middle of the pack with 8,190 and 7,699 EVs sold, respectively. Nissan sold 3,925 vehicles, while BMW registered 3,616.

Looking at the graph from EV data portal EU-EVs.com, it wasn’t an easy start for Tesla as it was trailing the competition. Registrations during Q1 were pegged at 2,747, just behind the 3,365 units of Toyota. It was the same picture for Q2 with 3,482 registrations for Tesla and 4,276 for Japanese automotive giant Toyota.

Q3 2019 is a different story as Tesla seemingly had a boost and left the other car brands behind. It finished first during the quarter with 7,776 units and Toyota didn’t have the grip and only had 3,593 new EVs registered.

The H2 2019 uptick can be attributed to the increasing Benefit-In-Kind taxes this 2020, which spells higher costs for consumers who want to get behind the wheel of a green car. The BIK doubles to 8% as the new year starts and the price threshold also goes down to 45,000 euros.

The Tesla Model 3 was also a big factor in the success of the brand in the country. The surge of Model 3 sales in Q4 2019 was impressive at 16,289, a big jump from the Q3 sales of 7,549. The brand sold 3,360 Model 3s during Q2 and 2,702 in Q1.

Overall, Tesla’s numbers in the Netherlands will definitely be a factor in helping the brand meet its Q4 goal of delivering 105,000 units and its yearly guidance of 360,000 to 400,000 vehicles. The country has become the biggest market of the brand in Europe, overtaking Norway before the end of 2019.

In the United States, Tesla also pushed hard to close the year with CEO Elon Musk rushing back to the Fremont Tesla Delivery Center to assist with vehicle deliveries.

Likewise, Tesla has also hit its production goal in its Gigafactory in Shanghai, rolling out 280 Made-In-China Model 3 per 10-hour shift or more than 1,500 units per week. The production is expected to ramp up as more frontline workers are added to the production line.

HT to @JPR007

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SpaceX has delayed the first orbital launch of the new year by a handful of days to allow both Falcon 9 and the drone ship it’s scheduled to land on the opportunity to dodge bad weather on the Florida coast and out in the Atlantic Ocean.

Originally scheduled to launch no earlier than December 30th, SpaceX delayed its next mission – Starlink-2 – to January 3rd for unknown reasons. Weather on the new date was unfortunately forecast to be terrible at SpaceX’s LC-40 launch pad and had a 60% chance of scrubbing the mission. SpaceX must have been at least as concerned about conditions for drone ship Of Course I Still Love You (OCISLY) in the Atlantic Ocean, as the company ultimately skipped over a 90%-GO backup window on January 4th for the latest launch target – January 6th.

Historically, only a few Falcon launches have been delayed for booster recovery purposes, but it’s been apparent that – while incredibly sturdy – some of the tacked-on equipment installed on SpaceX’s drone ships (modified barges) can be easily damaged by high seas. Perhaps more importantly, high seas (and thus a pitching drone ship deck) can make booster landings much riskier. Bad luck could easily cause a booster to cut off its landing burn at exactly sea level but still be a dozen or more feet above the drone ship’s deck if it’s coincidentally in the trough of a big swell, potentially destroying or damaging the rocket.

Ultimately, on missions where SpaceX has nothing to lose by delaying the launch, the company now puts a successful booster recovery much higher on its list of priorities. As recently as March 2018, SpaceX intentionally expended a new Falcon 9 booster because ocean conditions would have been extremely risky to OCISLY and crew and the company (or customer) had no interest in delaying the launch further to wait for calmer seas.

By all appearances, that is – for the most part – no longer the case. SpaceX would likely expend a rocket for a few days of schedule for high-priority customers like the USAF and especially NASA, where even a few days of delays could trigger several years of delays to quite literally wait for the planets to realign. It has and will continue to require a significant culture shift in the market for launch but SpaceX is clearly changing those norms and expectations bit by bit, to the point that the company was recently willing to delay Cargo Dragon launches for NASA to ensure that the mission’s Falcon 9 booster the best possible chance of recovery.

For an internal Starlink launch, delaying the mission to prevent drone ship damage and ensure Falcon 9 recovery is thus an absolute no-brainer. Starlink-2 is also partially unique because it will mark the second time a Falcon 9 booster launches for the fourth time, following on the footsteps of B1048 after it became the first booster to launch four times during SpaceX’s November 2019 Starlink-1 mission.

B1048 thus became SpaceX’s lone pathfinder for Falcon 9 booster reusability, hopefully providing excellent insight and some unequivocal physical data to determine the rocket’s health and readiness for a 5th launch. Still, even though the sample sizes available to even the most prolific orbital launch vehicles would make any statistician cringe, it’s safe to say that two data points are better than one, and B1049 – scheduled to launch for the fourth time on Starlink-2 – would thus be quite valuable to SpaceX’s recovery engineers and technicians.

Only one additional Falcon 9 booster – B1056 – has already flown three missions, meaning that SpaceX will – at best – likely have to suffice with three data points (B1048, B1049, B1056) before moving onto the next reusability milestone – launching the same booster five times. Ultimately, every time SpaceX pushes that envelope and demonstrates that Falcon boosters can be definitively reused 3 or 4 or 5 times, the company multiplies the number of launches its fleet of booster can perform by a factor of two.

For, say, the eight flightworthy boosters in SpaceX’s existing fleet, proving that a 4th reuse is possible will ultimately allow the company to squeeze an additional seven launches from existing hardware with almost zero capital investment. For now, the fourth flight of Falcon 9 boosters will remain cutting edge, but with more than three-dozen launches planned in 2020, it’s all but guaranteed that SpaceX will push the envelope of reusability like never before in the coming months.

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