LNG: TESLARATI

Tesla fans and future owners of the Model Y cannot help but think about how the upcoming all-electric crossover compares in size versus the flagship Model X SUV and the mass-produced Model 3 sedan. While recent sightings of the upcoming vehicle have given the EV community a general idea, the latest snapshots of a Model Y prototype parked next to a Model X in California just helped paint a clearer picture.

The anonymous tipster spotted a Model Y parked next to a Model X at the Manteca Supercharger, roughly 55 miles east of Tesla’s Fremont factory in California and a charging stop near the main corridor between San Francisco to Los Angeles.

The Model Y was covered in tarp when it was photographed, but one could see that it was just as tall as the Model X. A recent sighting of the Model Y in Mountain View, California  revealed that the crossover’s height is about 65 inches. The Model X, on the other hand, has an overall standard height of 66 inches but can vary depending on the air suspension height setting. The ground clearance of the Model X ranges between 7 and 9 inches.

In the latest image showing the Model Y next to a Model X, the difference in width between the two vehicles was quite evident. The latter looks heftier than the former as the Tesla flagship SUV has an overall width of 89.4 inches with the side mirrors included, or 78.7 inches when the mirrors are excluded.

These recent sightings are quite encouraging for customers looking to purchase the Model Y. As the vehicle closes in on its production date, it is starting to become evident that the Model Y offers a lot of space for its price. This could make the vehicle extremely popular for buyers, as it is essentially an almost Model X-sized crossover at a price that’s just slightly above the Model 3. That’s a very good deal, and it would allow it to undercut rivals from more experienced carmakers, such as the Jaguar I-PACE and the Audi e-tron.

It is also interesting to see how the Model Y stacks up in height and width compared to the Model 3, and this photo shared by @Teslaincanada via Twitter has provided a good idea how the bigger crossover looks when it is alongside the midsize sedan.

The Model Y is expected to start production in Fremont by Summer this year and Tesla CEO has also formally launched the Model Y program at Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai during the first public deliveries of the Made-in-China Model 3. Gigafactory 4 in Germany will also start its operations with the production of the Model Y, which will likely be distributed across European markets.

Musk sees the Model Y as an essential key to success in its push towards the global market. The Tesla chief also believes that the demand for the electric crossover might be higher than the demand for the Model S, Model X, and Model 3 combined.

The Model Y will come in several variants and will have enough space for 7 adults. Tesla’s electric crossover will start at $48,000 with the top-tier going for $61,000 before potential incentives and options.

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Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA) has been hitting record highs of late and on Tuesday it closed at $469.06, up by $17.52 or 3.88%. The recent gains pushed Elon Musk’s electric car brand to a market capitalization approaching $83 billion, making it the most valuable automotive company in America ever.

The current market cap of Tesla eclipses the record set by Ford in 1999 at $81 billion, and is now higher the combined value of General Motors ($52 billion) and Fiat-Chrysler Automobiles ($28 billion). While the current numbers are not adjusted for inflation and debt, the achievement by Tesla and Musk is undoubtedly impressive.

Tesla’s milestone comes amid news of its big push in China where it made its first public delivery of locally-made Model 3s, formally launched its Model Y program, and hinted at a promising future with plans to create an engineering and design center in the country. Likewise, it is making strides in Germany where it has started clearing the forest in Brandenburg to make way for the groundbreaking of Gigafactory 4.

Tesla’s Q4 2019 results also helped the company achieve its full-year guidance by delivering 105,000 units in the quarter and a total of 367,500 vehicles for the year. That’s about 50% more compared to its 2018 numbers, which were already record-setting when they were released.

Just as venture capitalist Paul Holland puts it, Elon Musk’s strategy in China is comparable to what Sun Tzu’s The Art Of War teaches.

Amidst these results, the Palo Alto, California-based EV manufacturer has earned the approval of a number of analysts. Wedbush Securities Managing Director Dan Ives recently said Tesla stock may hit $600. “While part of this recent rally has been a massive short covering, it has also been driven by underlying fundamental improvement as the company’s ability to impressively not just talk the talk but walk the walk has been noticed by the Street,” he noted.

On Tuesday, Bill Selesky of Argus Research raised the Tesla price target to $556 as well. “Despite recent production delays, parts shortages, labor cost overruns, and a host of other difficulties, we expect the company to improve performance over time,” Selesky said.

Indeed, Elon Musk’s epic dance during the Gigafactory 3 event in China is quite reassuring. A show of confidence that can be read as a watch-how-we-do-it warning to Tesla’s competitors.

Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s strategy in China is in line with the lessons from The Art Of War by Sun Tzu, according to venture capitalist Paul Holland. The electric car maker did not dip its toes but went straight for the heart of its potential biggest competitors in the electric vehicle market.

“Go right to the home territory of your competitor and make sure you dominate there. He’s not going to Detroit. He’s going to Shanghai,” said Holland, general partner of Foundation Capital during an interview on CNBC’s Squawk Alley.

The Netflix and Uber investor praised Musk for his bold move and pointed out that Nanjing, China-based Byton could be the top rival of the Palo Alto, California-based green car manufacturer. Byton, according to Holland, has a huge team of developers in California and has a very large car plant in China. He also pointed to BAIC Group as another big rival in Beijing.

Holland shared his observation on Tuesday, the same day Tesla China made its first deliveries of locally-made Model 3s and launched its Model Y program.

For those not familiar, The Art Of War was written by Chinese military commander and general Sun Tzu about 2,500 years ago. It is one of the most influential books on war that has shaped how wars have been fought. The book continues to have vital importance in the decision making of generals, business leaders, and athletes of today.

With Tesla practically opening the floodgates to bring the Model 3 to consumers in the largest automotive market in the world, its strategy has so far been flawless. As the carmaker revealed, Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai hit a run-rate of more than 3,000 vehicles per week and is focused on ramping up production to eventually achieve 5,000 vehicles a week.

Likewise, it fired shots against its competitors when it recently lowered the price of the Made-In-China Model 3  from $50,000 to $42,919. It’s cooperation with the Chinese government also resulted in a considerable amount of support such as exemption of its Model 3 from 10% purchase tax, which makes the mass-produced electric sedan more affordable to Chinese consumers.

During the event at Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai on Tuesday, Musk also formally launched the Model Y program that will bring the all-electric crossover to the local market and give buyers more options to choose from. The Tesla chief also mentioned that his company will form an engineering and design center in China that will come up with vehicles for the local market and the rest of the globe.

Just like what Sun Tzu suggests in The Art of War, Tesla dominates its competitors and acted swiftly. “Rapidity is the essence of war,” it reads, and Tesla did that in China. To start, Gigafactory 3 is a major achievement for Musk and his car brand. From a muddy field, GF3 was able to produce the first Model 3s in just 10 months and made mass delivery on its first year anniversary.

If indeed Musk is using the strategy suggested in The Art of War by Sun Tzu in China, it will be no surprise if he is doing the same in Germany where Tesla seemingly caught the automotive giants resting on their laurels once more.

Here’s the segment on CNBC where venture capitalist Paul Holland shared his observation of Tesla:

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Tesla has arrived in Germany, and the company appears to have disrupted the local electric car market to such a degree that a BMW and Daimler subsidiary will be purchasing 60 Tesla vehicles to expand its electric car fleet.

The latest report by German publication Sueddeutsche revealed the plan of mobility provider FreeNow, formerly known as Mytaxi, to buy electric cars from Tesla. The company is one of the leading mobility providers in Europe with its services available in over 100 cities and more than 100,000 drivers using its service.

The Hamburg-based mobility company was established in 2009, then it was bought by Daimler in 2014. Last year, Daimler partnered with BMW for its mobility operations and both companies promised to pour in a billion euros to help scale the brand. The joint venture has Uber in its sights, and is poised to eventually challenge the ride-hailing app in Europe and Latin America.

Last year, FreeNow reportedly served 20% more passengers in Germany compared to its 2018 figures. It’s lineup of drivers also increased by 27% or about 28,000 in Germany. Across all markets, it has a user base of 90 million people.

It is not surprising to see why Tesla will be the go-to carmaker of mobility providers in Germany and the rest of Europe, particularly those who operate an electric car fleet. The Model 3 mass-produced sedan, for example, will also be adopted by German taxi operator Taxi Norman because of the potential massive savings in fuel and maintenance costs offered by the vehicle.

Another possible reason why mobility providers would love Tesla vehicles is because these electric cars are practically future-proof. The electric car maker can easily push over-the-air updates to improve the vehicles’ performance or enhance their features.

Of course, one cannot ignore that one day, these Tesla electric vehicles will become Robotaxis once Musk and his team perfect its Full Self-Driving technology and pass the requirements of regulators. Tesla’s neural network also continues to improve and evolve as more and more data are fed into it from the fleet of Teslas on the road today.

According to estimates, FreeNow raked in 2.4 billion euros in 2019 and plans to double that this year. “We know it is aggressive and really ambitious, but we want to double our revenue again next year while further improving our profitability,” said FreeNow CEO Marc Berg.

It seems, as the cliche goes, Tesla really walks the walk to a point that German automotive giants actually trust its products and rely on them to achieve their own ambitious business goals.

As Tesla sets its foothold in Germany with the construction of Gigafactory 4 in Brandenburg and the eventual production of electric vehicles for the country and the rest of Europe, it won’t be a stretch to speculate that more mobility providers would tap Tesla when they transition to electric vehicle fleets.

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SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has teased the first detailed description of the Starlink antennas (“user terminals”) customers will need to connect to the massive satellite internet constellation, revealing a few new and unexpected details about the critical hardware.

Although nearly all public focus is currently (and understandably) on the production and launch of Starlink satellites themselves, that perspective actually glosses over a second element of the constellation that is at least as important. Starlink, after all, is designed to delivered high-speed, low-latency broadband internet to customers around the world, and that service will not just magically appear in the houses of interested consumers. Similar to satellite TV, customers will gain access to their Starlink internet service with an antenna that will have to be installed somewhere on or around the premises.

The challenge that SpaceX faces with the grounded side of Starlink is that – unlike the geostationary satellites that provide satellite TV – satellites in low Earth orbit (LEO) are visible from a specific point on the ground for just a handful of minutes each. Whereas satellite TV dishes simply need to be pointed at one unmoving spot in the sky, Starlink ground antennas will need to constantly change where they are pointed (or at least track constantly-moving and changing satellites) and do so seamlessly and with incredible reliability.

A step further and even more importantly, while SpaceX unequivocally needs to make its Starlink user terminals extremely capable, simple, and reliable, it will also need to find a way to mass-produce millions (ultimately tens to hundreds of millions) of units and keep the cost to consumers unprecedentedly low. At least before Musk’s January 7th, 2020 comment, it was believed that Starlink user terminals would have to rely almost entirely on high-performance phased-array antennas, referring to antennas that are steered electronically – i.e. without physically moving.

100% phased-array steering would likely result in the best possible user terminal from the standpoint of reliability and performance. However, full phased-array antennas – while making rapid progress – are still extremely expensive to manufacture compared to more basic alternatives, meaning that it could be an immense challenge – possibly much harder than building and launching Starlink satellites themselves – to mass-produce affordable user terminals under that paradigm. It’s possible that SpaceX has actually come to the same conclusion and is choosing to compromise with its first-generation user terminals, prioritizing time to market and cost per unit at the expense of peak performance and optimal reliability.

Competitor OneWeb may actually have a step up on SpaceX on that front, having reportedly already made great progress developing an exceptionally cheap flat-panel phased-array antenna capable of at least decent throughput (10-50 Mbps). On January 7th, Musk revealed that the current iteration of Starlink user terminals look like a “thin, flat, round UFO on a stick” and features “motors to self-adjust [and ensure it’s at the] optimal angle to view [the] sky.”

The latter tidbit came as a bit of a surprise, given that nearly all cutting-edge phased-array antennas in development feature flat-panel designs and mounting hardware and pointedly avoid mechanical steering – one of the great benefits of phased arrays. It’s ultimately unclear what purpose a mechanical pointing motor would serve on a Starlink user terminal. If the terminal is centered around a true phased-array antenna, mechanical steering would be an almost vestigial addition. However, it’s possible that SpaceX has found a way to hybridize electronic (phased-array) and mechanical steering to produce user terminals that are exceptionally cheap and high-performance at the cost of a reliability risk (moving parts).

Ultimately, it looks like we will find out much sooner than later how exactly SpaceX’s Starlink user terminals work, among other details. Musk says that Starlink will be able to start serving customers in Canada and the Northern US with as few as four additional Starlink launches, meaning that some form of beta test could begin after Starlink V1 L6.

As of now, SpaceX has 1-2 more Starlink missions scheduled to launch later this month. If SpaceX averages two launches per month, Starlink could be serving its first customers as early as March or April 2020.

Check out Teslarati’s newsletters for prompt updates, on-the-ground perspectives, and unique glimpses of SpaceX’s rocket launch and recovery processes.

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BMW’s head of Research and Development Klaus Froehlich does not have any plans to push his company into the quickly growing electric vehicle sector. In a recent interview, the BMW exec stated that he believes the various markets of the world simply do not have a real need for electric cars.

BMW has the i3 and the i8, but it seems that the company is in no rush to transition into a fully electric lineup despite the environmental urgency and growing appeal of electric vehicles to mainstream buyers. Froehlich stated in an interview with Automotive News that BMW will continue to make gas engines for at least 30 years more.

“On the diesel side, production of the 1.5-liter, three-cylinder entry engine will end and the 400-hp, six-cylinder won’t be replaced because it is too expensive and too complicated to build with its four turbos. However, our four- and six-cylinder diesels will remain for at least another 20 years and our gasoline units for at least 30 years,” he said.

Yet, Froehlich’s most interesting comment was his belief that the United States simply does not have a real need for electric vehicles because of an incomplete charging infrastructure. He also claimed that while EVs are good for the east and west coast, the rest of the US will continue adopting the internal combustion engine.

“Most of the U.S. does not need BEVs. We could offer high-performance plug-in hybrids in the M space, providing a lot of fun to the driver as well as [environmental] credits for us. We see BEVs mainly in the west coast and parts of the east coast, while the rest of the U.S. will continue with conventional gasoline engines,” he said.

There is no advantage to having an electric vehicle in Europe either, according to Froehlich. The BMW exec added that hybrids will likely account for up to 25% of sales in Europe, while diesel and gasoline cars will account for more than 50%.

“In Europe there is reluctance to jump directly to BEVs, so plug-in hybrids are the right solution. We expect plug-in hybrids to account for up to 25 percent of [European sales], gasoline and diesel will have more than 50 percent and the rest will be BEVs,” he said.

This is an interesting strategy considering many European countries have already set petrol bans for less than 20 years into the future. While BMW will continue to manufacture vehicles that operate on gas or diesel fuel, they will soon be flat-out illegal in some territories.

Froehlich does not seem threatened by the phase-out of petrol, however. He stated that plug-in hybrids were a more appropriate solution considering many vehicle owners are reluctant to immediately buy an electric vehicle. Electric vehicles are growing and petrol-powered cars are beginning to look less appealing every day. Froehlich was sure to clarify that if the “world turns fully electric, we will develop dedicated architectures.”

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A number of details from Tesla’s purchase contract for Gigafactory 4’s land have been released, revealing that the all-electric car maker has managed to negotiate a great price for the 300-hectare property. According to local reports, Tesla will be able to acquire the GF4’s complex for just €40.91 million, or $45.48 million.

Reports from German media outlet RBB24 state the company will pay just €13.52 per square meter for the property located in Grünheide. This is significantly less than what Tesla paid for the property that is currently inhabited by Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai. Tesla bought that 86.5-hectare site for 973 million Chinese Yuan, or slightly more than $140 million.

Nearby pieces of land in the Freienbrink Business Park cost nearly three times as much per square meter. This is because plots of land at Freienbrink already have public roads, installed water systems, street lights, and electricity. These are all things Tesla will have to take care of on its own at the Grünheide site.

Local governments will begin conducting meetings to go over the finer details of the project soon. The Environmental Committee of the Brandenburg State Parliament will talk about the project’s environmental impacts on January 8. Tesla has already started the removal of trees from 90 hectares of the land. This project is set to be completed by February 27, but Tesla has run into some bumps in the road because the company does not want to risk the wildlife currently inhabiting the area.

The committee is aware of Tesla’s plan to eventually build and manufacture 500,000 vehicles at Gigafactory 4, though this would result in the facility being expanded. Tesla would then have to remove trees from a further 154 hectares of land. While the value of the forest is relatively low according to an environmental impact assessment, it seems that animals are of more concern than the trees themselves. Lizards, forest ants, and wolves inhabit the area and are all considered to be worth protecting.

The Brandenburg State Parliament will have an economics meeting on January 9 to make its decision on the Gigafactory 4 project. A Democratic budget politician by the name of Ronny Kretschmer stated that the purchase price was too low considering the nearby Freinbrink land value. He believes the property should have been purchased for around €40 per square meter like other slots of nearby land.

Gigafactory 4 is expected to roll its first cars off the production line in June 2021 beginning with the Model Y crossover. The considerably low purchase price for Gigafactory 4 will make it extremely simple for the company to make its money back on the project. Following overwhelming support from some of the area’s top officials, it seems Tesla’s new production plant will have plenty of momentum as construction is set to begin, likely sooner than later.

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