Tesla faces ‘excessive’ negativity, but analysts see silver lining for Model 3 deliveries


Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) might be facing a lot of negativity from its skeptics recently over concerns about the Model 3’s demand this quarter, but some TSLA bulls are seeing a silver lining. In a note published on Thursday, Baird analysts stated that the overly negative sentiments against the company today could play in the electric car maker’s favor when it releases its Q1 2019 vehicle delivery and production report.

The Baird analysts noted that even if Tesla’s deliveries fall below expectations for the first quarter, the bearish news is already priced in on TSLA’s current stock price. This could work as a “de-risking event” for the electric car maker’s shares, which could result in TSLA stock being driven higher following the company’s announcement.

“We are buyers into the release as we believe weak deliveries are priced into the stock and think the report could be a de-risking event. Management could provide an update on demand/backlog, which we believe would be positive for the stock. We think overly negative sentiment on demand could improve following the announcement, which should drive shares higher,” the analyst wrote.

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Baird has a conservative estimate for Model 3 deliveries for the first quarter. The analysts expect Tesla to deliver 50,000 Model 3 in Q1, slightly below market expectations. Analysts polled by FactSet are estimating that Tesla will deliver a total of 77,000 vehicles in the first quarter, 55,000 of which are Model 3.

The observations of the Baird analysts mirror those of Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois, who observed in a note on Wednesday that there seems to be an “excessive” amount of negative media coverage against Tesla lately. In his note, Houchois stated that he expects a “modest” $50 million loss before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization in Q1, and that he sees a “high probability that Tesla can remain self-funded in the course of 2019.” The Jefferies analyst added that Tesla’s shares had gotten back to support levels that were last tested over the course of 2018, before the company started demonstrating its capability to turn a profit and exhibit a positive free cash flow.

The big question that will likely determine the performance of Tesla stock over the next few weeks is the number of Model 3 deliveries that the company has achieved this first quarter, which represents the first time that the electric sedan was delivered to foreign territories. While it is expected that deliveries in the United States will likely be down due to the Model 3’s international push, the numbers from Europe and China will determine if Tesla’s strategy is working or not.

As of writing, Tesla shares are trading +0.71% at $276.78.

Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.

Tesla faces ‘excessive’ negativity, but analysts see silver lining for Model 3 deliveries


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Tesla is one of the world’s Most Innovative Companies, says noted consulting firm


The Boston Consulting Group’s 13th annual report, which defines the world’s most innovative companies, has listed California-based electric car maker Tesla as 9th in its rankings. Tesla is the lone automaker that made the group’s Top 10 list, which is dominated by tech companies like Alphabet/Google, Amazon, and Apple.

The group’s full report, titled The Most Innovative Companies 2019: The Rise of AI, Platforms, and Ecosystems, paid particular attention to the use of artificial intelligence and other cutting-edge technologies in the companies that it ranked. A handful of automakers made BCG’s Top 50 rankings, though the group’s analysis concluded that none of Tesla’s more experienced competitors exhibited the same level of innovation over the past years.

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Tesla’s place in BCG’s list is understandable considering the company and Elon Musk’s push for the use of AI for both its vehicle production and in the features of its electric cars. This is particularly evident in Tesla’s strategy to achieve full self-driving, as it is bucking the trend by forgoing hardware solutions such as LiDAR and focusing instead on a process that primarily uses AI and cameras to navigate. Tesla’s AI-centric approach has resulted in notable improvements to its Autopilot driver-assist feature, as seen in recent updates such as Navigate on Autopilot and Enhanced Summon.

It is not surprising to see Tesla lead the pack among automakers when it comes to the use of bleeding-edge technology such as artificial intelligence, especially since the company is arguably the most tech-focused carmaker today. This is evident in the deep level of hardware and software integration in Tesla’s electric cars, which is something that other automakers are yet to adopt.

Tesla’s level of innovation over the past years as compared to other automakers. (Credit: Boston Consulting Group)

Traditional auto’s lack of experience in AI is something that was evident in Porsche’s strategy for the coming years. The pedigreed sports car maker is currently dipping its toes into artificial intelligence, though for now, AI is being used primarily for vehicle production. During the recently held annual press conference, the company’s executives were quite conservative when discussing AI as it will be used for its vehicles’ actual capabilities. Porsche is more of a low-volume, niche carmaker, though its AI strategy is likely reflective of the innovations being adopted by Volkswagen, its parent company (VW was ranked as 38th in BCG’s list).

Tesla’s strategy with AI seems to be more of a long-term play, and the past couple of years have been largely spent gathering data from its fleet and training its neural networks. Elon Musk has noted that Tesla’s Full Self-Driving suite will see the rollout of its new features this year, a feat that is only made possible by the company’s commitment to AI.

Boston Consulting Group, Inc. (BCG) is an American management consulting firm that was founded in 1963. BCG advises clients across private, public, and nonprofit organization sectors across the globe, including more than two-thirds of the Fortune 500. BCG is also known for the high bar it sets for applicants, with career review website Glassdoor ranking the firm as the 3rd most difficult company for interviews.

Tesla is one of the world’s Most Innovative Companies, says noted consulting firm


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Tesla rolls out Sentry Mode update for Model X and Model S


Tesla’s Sentry Mode has finally arrived for Model X and Model S owners under version 2019.8.3. The all-electric car maker’s latest security offering was released first for Model 3 vehicles, and an image posted by Model X owner u/frank_datank_ on Reddit confirms the feature has been expanded to the all-electric SUV.

Sentry Mode was recently launched by Tesla via over-the-air updates to improve and complement the existing security features and options for its vehicles such as GPS tracking and the Enhanced Anti-Theft Device cabin motion sensor. When activated, the owner is alerted via the Tesla mobile app, video footage is recorded, and in the event of an intrusion, full-volume music is played to attract attention to the car.

A picture of the Model X Sentry Mode display can be seen below. The only difference apparent between the it and the Model 3 version is that the driver’s display is also turned on along with the center touchscreen, something likely to be corrected in future software updates.

Tesla Model X with Sentry Mode activated. | Credit: u/frank_datank_/Reddit
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Sentry Mode is a robust security system utilizing Tesla vehicles’ suite of sensors, lights, and speakers to not only provide enhanced vehicle safety, but to address the serious issue of targeted break-ins. A rise in theft reports by Tesla owners over the last year led to the suspicion that the vehicles were being selected due to the highly valuable content left inside, especially in the San Francisco Bay Area. The California-manufactured electric cars had a particular weak spot enticing the activity — the rear quarter window — which eventually led to the launch of Sentry Mode.

The serious nature of Tesla’s latest security feature was still significantly influenced by the company’s fun-loving CEO Elon Musk. As an avid science fiction and pop culture fan, Musk had a HAL-9000 Easter Egg included as part of Sentry Mode’s functionality in tribute to the villainous artificial intelligence system featured in the movie 2001: A Space Odyssey. When Sentry Mode is turned on, the Tesla center touchscreen displays the famed computer, complete with its ominous red “eye.”

Additionally, the decision for Sentry Mode to play Bach’s Toccata and Fugue in D Minor at full volume after detecting an intrusion is also keeping with Musk’s goal of making Tesla’s “the most fun thing (people) could possibly ever buy.” Both Sentry Mode and its alarm’s musical selection were announced by Musk via Twitter.

Sentry Mode’s arrival in the Model X and Model S is a welcome one even if its theft events aren’t as common as Tesla’s sedans. The feature additionally helps identify and mitigate other security issues such as hit and run incidents. Once a vehicle enters the “Alarm” state following event detection, owners receive an alert from their Tesla mobile app after which a video beginning 10 minutes prior to the event can be downloaded. Tesla also rolled out the ability to send Sentry Mode’s footage to company servers for temporary backup, ensuring video capture even if thieves manage to remove the external USB used to save footage during a robbery.

Here’s a video of Sentry Mode for the Model S and Model X.

Tesla rolls out Sentry Mode update for Model X and Model S


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First look at Tesla’s Autosteer Stop Light Warning for Autopilot in action


A series of videos from the Tesla community has provided a first look at how the electric car maker’s new Autosteer Stop Light Warning feature works in real-world settings. The safety feature is being rolled out by the electric car maker with 2019.8.3 and is available for customers who have purchased Tesla’s Autopilot driver-assist feature.

Tesla’s Autosteer Stop Light Warning provides an audible and visual warning that alerts drivers to take over the vehicle if a red light is detected. While these warnings are very noticeable, some instances recorded by the Tesla owners showed the safety feature not activating despite their electric cars approaching a stop light. This is understandable considering that Stop Light Warning is a very new feature, and it is all but certain that the capability will only improve as Tesla rolls out more over-the-air updates.

It should be pointed out that Tesla lists Stop Light Warning under Autosteer, which is currently listed under the company’s $3,000 basic Autopilot package. This means that even owners who do not purchase Tesla’s $5,000 Full Self-Driving suite will be able to take advantage of the Stop Light Warning capability, highlighting the company’s tendency to introduce safety systems to its vehicles proactively. This is notable since the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety has noted that injuries attributed to red light running have affected over 137,000 people in recent years.

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Much like other features like Navigate on Autopilot, Tesla asserted in its recent release notes that Autosteer Stop Light Warning is not intended to replace a fully-attentive driver. Instead, it is only designed to make the driving experience easier. “Your car may warn you in some cases if it detects that you are about to run a red light while Autosteer is in use. This is not a substitute for an attentive driver and will not stop the car,” Tesla wrote.

As Tesla works to develop its Full Self-Driving suite, abilities such as Autosteer’s Stop Light Warning are only bound to get better. With the apparent rollout of Hardware 3, a custom solution specifically designed to make full self-driving possible, the idea of Tesla’s electric cars stopping on their own when approaching a red light is not too farfetched.

This was hinted at by Elon Musk in a tweet last December, when he noted that Tesla is “already testing traffic lights, stop signs, and roundabouts in development software.” In his tweet, Musk added that with such features in place, the time would soon come when Teslas can “go from your garage at home to parking at work with no driver input at all.” For now, the company continues to introduce new driver-assist features that will form part of its Full Self-Driving suite, such as no-confirmation Navigate on Autopilot and Enhanced Summon, which are already being tested to the first batch of Tesla owners today.

Watch Autosteer Stop Light Warning in action in the videos below.

First look at Tesla’s Autosteer Stop Light Warning for Autopilot in action


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Tales from Dandelion customers: geothermal heating, cooling, and energy independence


Behind every installation of a Dandelion geothermal heating and air conditioning unit is a story. These stories are different for each customer, but each tale involves a notable common factor — a move towards gaining independence from fossil fuels. Here are a couple of stories from Dandelion customers who turned to geothermal solutions, and never looked back.

The Engineer

An aerial view of Matthew VanDerlofske’s home, which is fitted with solar panels. (Photo: Dandelion Energy)

When software engineer Matthew VanDerlofske came across Dandelion Energy’s heating and air conditioning system, he realized that it was the perfect way to help his family step away from fossil fuels. For VanDerlofske, a key reason behind his adoption of Dandelion’s geothermal solutions is the savings offered by the system.

During the gas spike in 2008 and 2009, the software engineer admitted that his family was budgeting $600 in gas per month for their SUVs alone. They were also spending $1,600 worth of oil per year for heating, on top of 15 megawatts of electricity per year from the grid. Eventually, VanDerlofske and his family realized that it was time to “start weaning ourselves off fossil fuels.”

The family started in 2012, investing $6,700 to have 32 solar panels installed on their roof. They also traded in one of their gas-guzzling SUVs for a Chevy Volt. Later, the family added an additional 24 solar panels, allowing them to produce more power than they consume. The family also acquired a Chevy Bolt, their first all-electric car. VanDerlofske and his wife regarded Dandelion’s geothermal heating and air conditioning system as the next step in their pursuit of energy independence, as it allowed them to get all their heating and air conditioning needs from the ground.

The Environmentalists

Paul and Joanne Coons’ historic home in Clifton Park, NY. (Photo: Dandelion Energy)

Dandelion Energy customers Paul and Joanne Coons have always been passionate about the environment. At one point, Joanne, a high school environmental science teacher, took it upon herself to make her own biodiesel from restaurant waste, which she used on her diesel car. Together with her husband, she also experimented with burning home-brewed biodiesel at home, in order to help offset their house’s $4,500 annual heating cost.

The couple completely embraced the energy-independent lifestyle after they took on the task of renovating a dilapidated, historic house in Clifton Park, NY. The home, which had no buyers due to its condition, was transformed by the couple into one of the most energy-efficient homes in the country. Since then, the house has won several green building awards, and it has become certified as a LEED Platinum and NAHB Certified Green Building Emerald home.

To make their historic home energy independent, the Coons opted to install an array of rooftop and pole-mounted solar panels, which they use to help power the house and charge their Nissan Leaf and Toyota Prius Hybrid. The couple, who also has a reservation for the Tesla Model 3, also opted to have a Dandelion Air unit installed for heating and air conditioning. Referring to their biodiesel-brewing days, Paul stated that ground source heat pumps are the best of both worlds, since “you can heat and cool your home with the power of the sun, and you don’t have to keep fueling the system.” 

Ultimately, customers who are already committing to sustainable energy through rooftop solar solutions can’t go wrong with a geothermal heating and air conditioning system. Read more about Dandelion Energy’s geothermal systems here.

Tales from Dandelion customers: geothermal heating, cooling, and energy independence


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Tesla Model 3 protects owner from high-speed crash that left gas-powered car in flames


A Tesla Model 3 owner recently shared a harrowing incident he experienced in a Los Angeles freeway late last year. As he was driving his electric car, the Model 3 owner heard the unmistakable sound of screeching brakes behind him. What followed was a violent crash that resulted in the vehicle that crashed into the electric sedan bursting into flame.

Recently relating his experiences recently to Tesla owner-enthusiast Vincent Yu, the Tesla owner noted that the other car, a Nissan Sentra, was traveling at high speed before it smashed into his Model 3. So massive was the impact that the Sentra’s front bumper ended up embedded on the electric car’s rear bumper. Amazingly, the Model 3 driver was able to escape from the accident with only a minor sprain. The electric car also proved remarkably durable, as its chassis and battery were undamaged.

The Nissan Sentra was not so fortunate. Its front end was totaled due to the collision, and it ended up burning in the middle of the highway. The driver of the Sentra survived the accident, though the person was wounded due to the impact.

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Since the Model 3 proved to be a tank of a vehicle, the Tesla owner was able to get the car repaired. The entire process lasted around three months, including one month spent waiting for OEM parts. The Model 3 only needed to have its trunk and some components replaced before it was perfect and roadworthy once more.

Apart from highlighting the durability of Tesla’s electric cars during collisions, the recently-related story of the fiery crash involving the Tesla Model 3 highlights the dangers inherent in vehicles equipped with the internal combustion engine. Negative connotations being spread around Tesla’s electric cars suggest that the vehicles are prone to bursting into flame during crashes, but the opposite is true. During an accident, a vehicle that is propelled by controlled explosions is more likely to catch fire than one that is powered by a battery pack.

This is something that was highlighted by National Transport Safety Board (NTSB) Survival Factors investigator Tom Barth, who noted previously that there is “no indication that Teslas are any more prone” to catch fire than any other vehicles on the road. Barth added that when severe crashes happen, any car, regardless of whether it is propelled by electricity or gasoline, has the potential to catch fire.

Tesla’s electric cars are among the safest vehicles currently on the road, with the Model 3 earning a flawless 5-star rating from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA). Data from the NHTSA also lists the Model 3 as the car with the lowest probability of injury among all the vehicles it has tested, followed by the Model S and X.

Tesla Model 3 protects owner from high-speed crash that left gas-powered car in flames


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Tesla pushes Dynamic Brake Lights that warns other drivers of rapid braking


Tesla owners are getting a Dynamic Brake Lights feature that warns other drivers of emergency and unexpected braking events.

The new safety feature was rolled out to Model 3 owners in Europe under version 2019.8.3. In addition to Dynamic Brake Lights, Tesla’s over-the-air software update also introduced Navigate on Autopilot, Sentry Mode, Dog Mode, and a Peak Power Increase.

According to release notes shared by DutchDeity from the r/TeslaMotors, the new brake light prompts will activate under forceful braking above 50 km/h (31 mph).

“If you are driving over 50 km/h and brake forecefully, the brake lights will now flash quickly to warn other drivers that your car is rapidly slowing down,” reads the description for Tesla’s Dynamic Brake Lights feature. In addition to flashing the tail lights in situations that call for unexpected heavy braking, the vehicle will also flash its hazard lights.

“If your car stops completely, the hazard warning lights will flash until you press the accelerator or manually press the hazard warning lights button to turn them off.”

Part of Tesla’s release notes for 2019.8.3 showcasing three new features for its electric cars. (Photo: DutchDeity/Reddit)
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Dynamic Brake Lights represents yet another step that Tesla is taking to ensure that its vehicles are among the safest in the world. Brake lights that are more noticeable to other motorists will only make Tesla’s electric cars even safer. One can only hope that the feature will be made available for vehicles in the United States as well.

Apart from Navigate on Autopilot, Peak Power Increase, and Dynamic Brake Lights, Tesla’s 2019.8.3 update for Model 3 owners in Europe also includes features like the recently released Sentry Mode, an active security system that utilizes the vehicles’ cameras, sounds, and lights to alert passersby and deter break-in attempts.

Among the arsenal of safety features being released by Tesla is an improved dashcam feature that allows vehicles to record footage from their blind spots using the vehicle’s side cameras, and Dog Mode, a feature that maintains a comfortable cabin temperature for pets that are temporarily left unattended inside a vehicle.

Tesla pushes Dynamic Brake Lights that warns other drivers of rapid braking


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Tesla to work on location-based Bioweapon Defense Mode activation


Tesla’s Bioweapon Defense Mode is about to get smarter, with location-based activation settings expected to be introduced in the future. Musk recently mentioned the upcoming improvements to the Model S and Model X’s hospital-inspired air fitration system in a response to a Tesla owner on Twitter.

Bioweapon Defense Mode enables Model S and Model X to improve cabin air quality by removing at least 99.97% of fine particulate matter and gaseous pollutants, including bacteria, viruses, pollen, and mold spores. The only drawback to the feature in its current iteration is that it must be manually activated.

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With Bioweapon Defense Mode’s location-based activation settings, Tesla’s electric cars can proactively protect their inhabitants better. Drivers that regularly pass through polluted areas could set the air filtration system in their Model S and Model X to engage in selected sections of the city (or the freeway for that matter), making commutes more convenient and safer at the same time.

Granted, Bioweapon Defense Mode’s upcoming improvements will depend on saved locations, but the recently-announced enhancements could be used by Tesla as a stepping stone for future upgrades nonetheless. Among the potential improvements that Tesla could roll out is the capability to automatically engage Bioweapon Defense Mode depending on data from other Teslas in nearby areas. With such a system in place, vehicles could warn other electric cars about locations with poor air quality at a given time. This capability will be useful during emergencies such as wildfires, which are very difficult to predict.

Bioweapon Defense Mode is made possible by the Model S and Model X’s incredibly large HEPA filter, which is around ten times as large as those of a regular car. Bioweapon Defense Mode is currently exclusive to the Model S and X since the vehicles’ large HEPA filter does not fit in the smaller frame of the Model 3 (and in extension, likely the Model Y as well).  

While its name incites ideas of a clever marketing strategy, Bioweapon Defense Mode has actually been proven to be effective in real-life scenarios. Last year alone, Tesla owners who were affected by the raging California wildfires have noted that their vehicles helped them breathe easier while they were driving in areas with poor air quality. Apart from this, a controlled demonstration from Tesla involving a Model X placed in a bubble contaminated with extreme levels of pollutants also showcased the effectiveness of the air filtration system. During the test, Bioweapon Defense Mode was able to scrub the air inside the vehicle within two minutes, later even cleaning the air around the all-electric SUV.

Tesla to work on location-based Bioweapon Defense Mode activation


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Tesla Model 3 earns rave review from one of Germany’s biggest magazines


Tesla’s much-celebrated Model 3 has earned another rave review, this time from one of Germany’s most accomplished magazines, Der Spiegel. Their conclusion? Tesla Model 3 is poised to strike fear into the hearts of more established automakers in the region.

A midnight gray Model 3 Performance served as the car of choice for Der Spiegel’s latest review of the all-electric sports sedan. Tesla’s trademark acceleration didn’t miss a beat, with the publication validating Model 3’s ability to perform a 0-100 km/h sprint in 3.5 seconds and register a top speed of 250 km/h (155 mph). The results place Model 3 ahead some of the industry’s top high-performance sedans like the BMW M3. 

Der Spiegel further lauded Tesla for maximizing the space in the Model 3’s cabin, which gave the vehicle more space than other cars in its class. Features that came through over-the-air updates such as Dog Mode, which protects pets that are left inside the vehicle, were lauded by the publication. Some of the Model 3’s more fun capabilities, including Easter Eggs like the now-infamous Emissions Testing Mode (also known as the Fart App) were positively received by Der Spiegel‘s reviewers as well.

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Der Spiegel‘s ultimately argued that the Model 3 is not a perfect car by any means, as its interior workmanship is not yet on the level of more experienced manufacturers like Mercedes-Benz, and the vehicle has a tendency to rely too much on its 15″ center touchscreen for basic actions like opening the glovebox. Despite these complaints, the reviewers concluded that the Model 3 is something that should strike fear in traditional auto. “Mercedes, BMW, and Audi are trembling in front of this car,” the magazine noted.

Der Spiegel is one of Germany’s most storied magazines. Founded by John British army officer Seymour Chaloner and former Wehrmacht radio operator Rudolf Augstein in 1947 (Chaloner would later be recognized as one of the fifty World Press Freedom Heroes by the International Press Institute in 2000), the publication would go on to establish a reputation for investigative reporting. The magazine currently has a circulation of 840,000 copies per week, making it one of the largest publications in Europe today.

Tesla is currently pushing the Model 3 to Europe, with the electric car maker starting its saturation of the region with the vehicle’s higher-tier variants such as the Long Range AWD and Model 3 Performance. A deeper push into Europe seems to be in order too, as a recent sighting in California indicated that Tesla is now testing a right-hand-drive (RHD) version of the electric sedan, a configuration that will be pushed to territories like the UK, Australia, and Hong Kong, to name a few. 

Tesla Model 3 earns rave review from one of Germany’s biggest magazines


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Tesla overwhelms China car carriers with Model 3 end of quarter push


Car carrier rental companies in Shanghai are starting to feel what it’s like to be part of Tesla’s end of quarter push. Recent reports from the country indicate that Tesla has been moving so many Model 3 sedans in China; car carrier rental companies in Shanghai are already running out of vehicles that can be used by the electric car maker.

Tesla is currently engaged in a massive drive to deliver as many of its electric cars to as many customers as possible. Unlike the previous quarters, this Model 3-driven push is not only happening in the United States, with foreign territories such as Europe and China being part of the company-wide delivery efforts as well.

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This intense initiative is particularly felt in China, which only started receiving its first batches of Model 3 this quarter. Tesla is only delivering higher-cost versions of the electric sedan such as the Long Range AWD and Performance Model 3 for now, but the reception from the car buying public appears to be very positive so far.

Reports from the country’s social media platforms tell of busy Tesla galleries and fully booked test drive sessions. Sightings of car carriers transporting the Model 3 have also been shared online from multiple cities in China. One of Shanghai’s DMV offices was even flooded recently by Model 3 owners who were getting license plates for their vehicles.

It should be noted that Tesla’s Model 3 push in China is only in its initial phases. Being the company’s first true mass-market car, the Model 3 is designed to target both the country’s upper class (with imported vehicles like the Model 3 Performance) and middle-class (with vehicles like the Standard Model 3). Tesla is yet to release any lower-cost variants of the Model 3 in China, though Gigafactory 3’s rapid progress suggests that the Asian country could welcome its first genuinely affordable, locally-produced Model 3 later this year.

Elon Musk noted during Gigafactory 3’s groundbreaking ceremony that affordable variants of the Model 3 and Model Y will be produced in China as soon as the facility is ready for vehicle production. Shanghai official Chen Mingbo estimates that the factory could be completed by May, after which it will be tooled for electric car manufacturing. Provided that everything goes well, Tesla could start producing the Model 3 in Gigafactory 3 by the end of 2019.

Tesla overwhelms China car carriers with Model 3 end of quarter push


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