SpaceX fires Falcon Heavy’s 27 booster engines ahead of “most difficult launch ever”


For the third time ever, SpaceX has successfully performed a critical static-fire test of an integrated Falcon Heavy, briefly igniting all 27 of its Merlin 1D engines to verify the health and readiness of the rocket.

Per SpaceX’s official confirmation, a “quick-look” inspection of static fire telemetry has indicated that the company’s Falcon Heavy rocket is ready for its second launch in less than three months, a milestone that could also allow both flight-proven side boosters to tie SpaceX’s own record for booster turnaround. Falcon Heavy Flight 3 is now scheduled to launch the US Air Force’s Space Test Program 2 (STP-2) mission no earlier than 11:30 pm ET (03:30 UTC), June 24th. According to SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, the mission will unequivocally be the company’s “most difficult launch ever”.

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Coincidentally, on top of being Falcon Heavy’s first scheduled night launch, STP-2 has now also marked the massive rocket’s first nighttime static fire. During this critical test, Falcon Heavy briefly ignites all 27 of its three boosters’ Merlin 1Ds and throttles the engines up to full thrust, much like airliners sometimes set their brakes and throttle up before attempting to take off. The difference between Falcon Heavy and passenger aircraft is nevertheless rather significant, given that Falcon Heavy produces ~15x the thrust of an A380 – the world’s most powerful mass-produced passenger aircraft – at liftoff: 22,820 kN (5.1M lbf) to the massive jet’s meager 1,440 kN (0.3M lbf).

Despite all of that thrust, Falcon Heavy is held down during static fire by eight accurately-named hold-down clamps, themselves a part of a massive transport/erector, which is itself anchored directly to Pad 39A’s concrete foundation. In short, Falcon Heavy (and especially Falcon 9) is not going anywhere until those hold-down clamps are explicitly released. Thanks to SpaceX’s avoidance of the solid rocket boosters used by almost every other modern launch vehicle, Falcon 9 and Heavy rockets can abort at any point prior to clamp release, offering a uniquely broad abort capability.

As such, not only does SpaceX’s dedicated pre-launch static fire fully test the rocket’s health, but the same procedure is essentially repeated in the seconds before clamp release during an actual orbital launch attempt. If at any point Falcon 9’s autonomous onboard computer decides that it doesn’t like any of the thousands of channels of telemetry it’s constantly analyzing, it can command an engine shutdown and total launch abort even if all first stage engines have already ignited and reached full thrust. If routine McGregor, TX acceptance testing – also involving a full static fire – is accounted for, every single Falcon 9 booster technically completes three fully-integrated static fires before its inaugural liftoff. Falcon Heavy is slightly different, as each booster is independent test-fired in Texas but the integrated rocket can only perform static fires at Pad 39A.

A different angle of Falcon Heavy Flight 2's liftoff from Teslarati photographer Pauline Acalin. (Pauline Acalin)
The first Falcon Heavy Block 5 rocket lifts off from Pad 39A on April 11th. Both side boosters will be reused on Flight 3, also known as STP-2. (Pauline Acalin)

After those three critical tests, flight-proven Falcon boosters are subjected to the less stringent few-second static fires SpaceX performs at the launch pad 3-7 days before a given launch. With Falcon Heavy Flight 3, the rocket’s center core, upper stage, and payload fairing are all brand new, fresh from either SpaceX’s Hawthorne factory or McGregor acceptance testing. However, both side cores – Block 5 boosters B1052 and B1053 – are flight-proven, having successfully completed their first launches and landings on April 11th, less than 70 days ago.

Set by regular old Falcon 9 boosters, SpaceX’s current record for booster turnaround time (time between two launches) is 71 days (set in June 2018), while the Block 5 upgrade’s record stands at 74 days (set in October 2018). If Falcon Heavy’s STP-2 launch holds strong on June 24th, B1052 and B1053 will simultaneously tie SpaceX’s Block 5 turnaround record. This would be accomplished despite the added pressure from the US Air Force’s decision to use STP-2 as a sort of dress rehearsal for certifying all flight-proven commercial rockets, an honor (and burden) that likely added extra work, oversight, and scrutiny to the process of refurbishing and relaunching B1052 and B1053.

“[T]he US Air Force has decided that STP-2 presents an excellent opportunity to begin the process of certifying flight-proven SpaceX rockets for military launches. The STP-2-related work is more of a preliminary effort for the USAF to actually figure out how to certify flight-proven commercial rockets, but it will still be the first time a dedicated US military mission has flown on a flight-proven launch vehicle. Down the road, the processes set in place thanks – in part – to STP-2 and Falcon Heavy may also apply to aspirational rockets like Blue Origin’s New Glenn and ULA’s “SMART” proposal for Vulcan reuse.”
Teslarati.com, 06/16/2019

B1052 and B1053 landed at SpaceX Landing Zones 1 and 2 after their inaugural launches, also Falcon Heavy’s commercial debut. (SpaceX)

In a last-second surprise, SpaceX updated Falcon Heavy center core B1057’s planned drone ship landing site from a brief 40 km (25 mi) to more than 1240 km (770 mi) off the coast of Florida. SpaceX set its current record for recovery distance less than three months ago during Falcon Heavy’s commercial launch debut, in which Block 5 center core B1055 landed nearly 970 km (600 mi) offshore on drone ship Of Course I Still Love You (OCISLY). If all goes well, B1057 – the second finished Block 5 center core – will absolutely crush its predecessor’s record, implying that the booster will likely be subjected to SpaceX’s most difficult reentry and recovery yet.

For more on what CEO Elon Musk describes as “[SpaceX’s] most difficult launch ever”, check out these previous articles on an unexpected ultra-fast booster reentry and the extraordinary challenge facing Falcon upper stage.

Check out Teslarati’s newsletters for prompt updates, on-the-ground perspectives, and unique glimpses of SpaceX’s rocket launch and recovery processes.

SpaceX fires Falcon Heavy’s 27 booster engines ahead of “most difficult launch ever”


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Tesla’s white paint to become standard color, black will cost $1,000 extra


Elon Musk has announced that Tesla will be switching the Model 3’s standard color from Solid Black to Simple White. After these changes are implemented, Musk noted that the Model 3’s black paint option would command a $1,000 price, similar to Midnight Metallic Silver.

Musk’s recent announcements were shared on Twitter following a series of comments about the upcoming Falcon Heavy launch and the possibility of offering Full Self-Driving as part of the Referral Program. In his updates, the CEO noted that the Model 3’s standard paint option would be shifted starting next month.

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Utilizing a Simple White color for the Model 3’s standard paint option could play to the electric car maker’s advantages. While not as stunning as the Pearl White Multi-Coat, Simple White paint would likely attract attract far fewer scratches than the current standard Solid Black. This would likely make the Model 3 far easier to maintain, ultimately benefiting both the vehicle’s owners and Tesla itself.

A lot of Model 3 today feature a Solid Black color scheme, and a lot of that is due to the paint being the vehicle’s standard color. With the advent of the Standard Range Model 3 variants, this has resulted in a notable number of owners dealing with scratches and imperfections on their vehicles’ paint. Tesla will likely produce even more Model 3 in the near future, especially with the beginning of the Standard Range Plus Model 3 from China. From this perspective, a Simple White paint option, which does not scratch as easily, would be strategic.

Tesla is already pushing the Model 3 to multiple territories, and the company is also poised to start delivering the vehicle to the first right-hand-drive regions this month. Despite this, it should be noted that the company is not done with its Model 3 ramp. There are still areas that are waiting for the vehicle such as Australia and Japan, and the greater Chinese market is yet to be saturated by the more affordable, locally-produced Model 3 from Gigafactory 3.

These simple changes to the Model 3’s standard color all but hint at Tesla’s efforts to prepare for a potentially bigger ramp for the electric car. Nevertheless, would-be buyers of the Model 3 that are on a budget should count themselves lucky. After all, the Model 3 in white looks pretty darn great.

Tesla’s white paint to become standard color, black will cost $1,000 extra


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Tesla Energy makes headway in customer acquisition costs, drops in US rankings


The results of Wood Mackenzie Power & Renewables’ rankings of solar providers in the United States has revealed some interesting details about Tesla Energy’s current strategies. During the first quarter of 2019, Tesla Energy was overtaken by Vivint Solar as the US’ second-largest residential solar provider. Despite this, the electric car and energy company was able to dramatically reduce its customer acquisition costs, a key component in the solar business that could result in long-term advantages.

During the first quarter of 2019, Tesla claimed 6.3% of the US market, a far cry from Solar City’s peak of 32.6% in 2014. These declines do not seem to mean that Vivint gained market share at Tesla’s expense, as the solar provider also saw its market share shrink in Q1, from a high of 11.6% in 2014 to 7.3% in 2019. Considering the current trends in the US’ residential solar market, WoodMac analysts are currently forecasting a nearly flat 3% growth for the year. Senior WoodMac analyst Austin Perea noted that a significant contributor to this trend is Tesla’s softer efforts at pushing its solar business, as indicated by the company’s ongoing shift to an online sales model.

Yet, despite the downtrend in Tesla’s market share in the US residential solar market, the company has been exhibiting a dramatic reduction in its customer acquisition costs. During the final six months of 2018, for example, Tesla spent around $0.40 per watt to acquire customers, and this amount would likely get even lower. WoodMac analysts have stated that Tesla could spend as little as “close to a quarter” per watt by the end of 2019.

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It should be noted that customer acquisition costs are currently among the most expensive portions of residential solar systems, accounting for 21% of total expenses in 2018. Vivint and Sunrun, the two residential solar providers that have overtaken Tesla in market share over the years, are no exception. WoodMac notes that currently, Vivint’s customer acquisition costs stand at $0.94 per watt, while Sunrun’s costs run at $0.90 per watt. Perea notes that Tesla’s notably lower customer acquisition costs are partly due to the company’s diverse business.

“With current saturation levels, customer acquisition costs are not going to come down. Tesla understands where the cost stack is right now, and they’re able to rely on other business units. They’re diversified in a way that other models aren’t. I’m not saying that Tesla is doing the right thing here, but I think they understand that existing customer acquisition costs aren’t going anywhere. It’s becoming a fairly well-respected product at a cheaper price point than some of its primary competitors. That’s because they’ve been reducing their customer acquisitions costs actively,” the WoodMac senior analyst said.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has pledged to ramp the company’s solar business, which, according to legendary investor Ron Baron, has the potential to be worth $500 billion on its own. Tesla Energy has largely taken a backseat to the company’s electric car business, particularly during the Model 3 ramp. Nevertheless, with the electric sedan’s production humming along, it might not be too long before Tesla commits itself to ramping its residential solar business fully.

Tesla Energy makes headway in customer acquisition costs, drops in US rankings


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Tesla receives lower price target as Goldman questions ‘sustainable demand’ for Model S,3,X


Tesla shares (NASDAQ:TSLA) could face some volatility this Thursday, as analysts from Goldman Sachs and RBC Capital Markets downgraded the electric car maker’s stock. In a note to the firm’s clients on Thursday, Goldman Sachs analyst David Tamberrino questioned the “sustainable demand” for Tesla’s Model S, X, and 3, arguing that the “downward path” for the company’s shares will resume.

Tamberrino, who has been one of Tesla’s most aggressive critics in Wall Street, lowered his price target for TSLA stock from $200 per share to $158 per share. This represents a potential ~30% drop from the electric car maker’s $226.43 closing price on Wednesday. In his note, the Goldman analyst argued that the decline in Tesla shares would resume as it becomes evident that demand for the company’s electric cars is “below expectations.”

“We believe that is the largest question for investors to underwrite at this point — what are sustainable demand levels for the Model S, Model X, and Model 3 — and how does that change with the introduction of Model Y production? We believe a downward path for shares will resume as it becomes more clear that sustainable demand for the company’s current products are below expectations,” Tamberrino wrote.

The Goldman analyst did admit that deliveries in the second quarter will likely meet forecasts, though he insisted that delivery forecasts in the second half of the year are too optimistic.

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“Volume estimates for the second half of the year look generous considering there are fewer levers (such as lower prices and leasing options) to pull to stoke demand going forward. Further, when coupled with a lack of direct impetus to open up new demand pockets (other than introducing incentives or more attractive financing rates) and another step-down in the US Federal Tax Credit for Telsa vehicles beginning on July 1, we believe 2Q19 was a better environment for demand and thus deliveries, but to a level that is likely not sustainable,” Tamberrino added.

It was not just the Goldman Sachs analyst that gave Tesla a pessimistic outlook on Thursday. In a recent update, RBC Capital Markets also opted to lower its earnings estimates for the electric car maker.

Goldman and RBC’s sentiments lie in opposition to the forecasts of Tesla’s supporters from Wall Street. In a recent note, Tesla bull and Berenberg analyst Alexander Haissl noted that claims questioning the demand for the company’s electric cars are “decoupled from reality” and “overblown.” Haissl further argued that the negative sentiments surrounding Tesla today fail to understand Tesla’s “technological and cost advantage” over its competitors.

“Demand worries are overblown, as the Q1 volume weakness was largely self-inflicted by logistic problems, uncertainty about store closures and changing pricing structure, and not indicative of the underlying demand situation,” Haissl wrote.

Baird analyst Ben Kallo, another Tesla bull, noted this past Monday that the recent rise in TSLA shares could be related to the “start of short covering over the next few weeks.” According to Kallo, several aspects are in place today that could trigger short covering, including “several upcoming catalysts,” the 40 million TSLA shares that are currently sold short, and the fact that the “demand issue will be proven false.”

Elon Musk, for his part, has assured Tesla investors that there are no issues with the demand for its vehicles. During the company’s annual shareholder meeting, the Tesla CEO noted that there is even a “decent chance” that Tesla would reach new records in the second quarter.

Tesla stock was down 1.85% at $222.25 per share after Thursday’s opening bell.

Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.

Tesla receives lower price target as Goldman questions ‘sustainable demand’ for Model S,3,X


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Rivian’s community growth is driven by a focus on sustainability


Rivian only officially entered the auto manufacturing scene last November, but you’d hardly know it by the headway the company has made in terms of branding and enthusiasm for its upcoming all-electric R1T pickup truck and R1S SUV. The startup’s flurry of marketing activity in the months since launching is largely to thank for the growing, nascent community. However, Rivian now has its sights set on earning even more respect from the clean energy crowd that’s already excited about electric vehicles via energy storage projects.

Last week, Rivian announced a new partnership with rock climber Alex Honnold and the Honnold Foundation to use the car maker’s used vehicle batteries for microgrid energy storage in underserved areas. The first project will take place in Adjuntas, Puerto Rico working with Casa Pueblo, a local organization committed transitioning their city’s energy grid to solar power. In the wake of Hurricane Maria, the Adjuntas community is ready for sustainable, independent energy sources, and Rivan’s batteries have substantial capacity – even after their vehicle life cycle is expended – to help with that transition.

The batteries Rivan is designing for its vehicles are purpose-built to have second-life storage applications, and the Adjuntas microgrid project will enable the company to implement the first steps of this broader plan. While the first R1T and R1S vehicles have yet to be delivered to patiently awaiting customers, spending time on environmentally-focused projects has been part of Rivian’s plans since its inception. “It’s the central motivation for the business,” CEO RJ Scaringe explained in a recently live streamed conversation about the joint microgrid initiative.

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Scaringe is a self-described car enthusiast, but as his awareness and concern for the environmental issues surrounding gas-powered vehicles grew, he eventually made the decision to start a new car company that matched his values.

“The [cars] that I really loved were simultaneously making the planet worse, whether it’s geopolitical or air quality or climate change, and it really bothered me,” Scaringe admitted. “So…the way I thought I could have the most impact was to start a company. In starting Rivian, the goal was to create products that are exciting and built with passion and deliver real performance, but at the same time are deeply sustainable… The decisions we make as a company are absolutely made from the vantage point of how do we have the most impact.”

Alongside energy projects, Rivian has also made several appearances at trade shows, auto shows, and outdoor vendor events to continue building a network of business and consumer relationships that grow its community. New features and options have been announced as well, such as vehicle-to-vehicle charging and a portable kitchen set for the R1T gear tunnel, all of which have helped keep up enthusiasm for the company.

Rivian’s R1T gear tunnel kitchen set. | Image: Rivian/Twitter

The attention Rivian has already garnered for the high-tech and performance stats of its upcoming R1T truck and R1S SUV is well deserved. Both vehicles have four electric motors with 750-800 total horsepower that can reach highway speeds in around 3 seconds, and 147 kW of independent power at each wheel also provides for torque vectoring. Rivian’s high-density battery packs have a thermal control system that adapts according to charging and driving behavior, and they’re tightly encased using advanced materials science to be capable of wading up to three feet of water. The 180 kWh “megapack” option is expected to give around 400 miles of range.

Rivian already has plenty to offer future customers as an all-electric car manufacturer full of innovative ideas, and their new sustainability initiative adds to the startup’s promising outlook. Production is slated for 2020 and pre-orders are available on the official website.

Rivian’s community growth is driven by a focus on sustainability


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Tesla Gigafactory 3 glows with otherworldly light amid accelerating interior work


When Tesla CEO Elon Musk spoke with Chinese Premier Li Keqiang in Beijing last January, he talked about Gigafactory 3 hitting a point where it would function like a “living being.” Musk has mentioned similar plans in the past, at some points dubbing his vision of a hyper-automated factory as something similar to an “alien dreadnought,” a reference to the incredibly advanced extraterrestrial ships usually featured in sci-fi films. Recent images taken from the Gigafactory 3 site show that little by little, the Tesla CEO’s vision might very well be coming to life.

The progress of Gigafactory 3 has been particularly quick, with the Phase 1 buildout reportedly being completed by the end of May. This month, work on the facility’s interior is fully underway, with some sections entering ground hardening and other parts already getting refined. These are depicted in a set of images that were taken from Gigafactory 3’s interior on Thursday, June 20 by local Chinese media outlet 3g.163.com.

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As could be seen in the June 20 images, sections of Gigafactory 3 have already been painted white, and various heavy equipment are currently operating inside. Construction materials have also been moved to the interior of the general assembly building, hinting at accelerated construction in the near future.

Also particularly interesting is an image of the expansive electric car factory on Wednesday evening. Gigafactory 3’s interior was abuzz with activity when the photo was taken, and a rather otherworldly green glow could be seen from within the facility. Considering Elon Musk’s past references to Tesla’s factories being “alien dreadnoughts,” the color choice for the facility’s interior lights was very interesting, if not a bit nerdy and humorous.

To state that Gigafactory 3’s rise is unprecedented is a gross understatement. During the facility’s groundbreaking event last January, Elon Musk noted that Gigafactory 3 would produce the first Model 3 by the end of the year, a target that was immediately met with skepticism. Tesla’s Chinese construction partner took this timeframe very seriously, and by March, Shanghai official Chen Mingbo called for the Phase 1 buildout of the site to be completed by the end of May.

After the completion of Gigafactory 3’s Phase 1 buildout, the facility is set to undergo ground hardening in June. This is expected to be followed by pipeline communication, equipment stationing, equipment commissioning, and trial electric car production runs. Barring any unexpected delays, such as Tesla being unable to ship its Model 3 manufacturing equipment to Gigafactory 3 on time, the initial production of the electric sedan could begin as early as September, or even late August.

Tesla Gigafactory 3 glows with otherworldly light amid accelerating interior work


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Tesla destroys German critic’s electric car prejudice after Model 3 test drive


German automotive veteran Nando Sommerfeldt has not had good experiences with electric cars. At one time, the electric vehicles he was testing ended up running out of charge, making him stranded in the middle of a trip. Other vehicles proved too slow to charge, testing his family’s patience. Sommerfeldt has reservations about electric cars, even a prejudice, if you may, but it only lasted until he drove a Tesla Model 3.

The Silicon Valley-based electric car maker sent a bold message to the auto veteran, offering to change his mind about electric cars.  “We would like to convince you otherwise. Our impression is that you simply have not tested the ‘right electric cars’ yet,” Tesla wrote. That’s a bold statement, and Sommerfeldt opted to take the offer. Tesla provided the EV critic with a Model 3 Performance, one of its latest vehicles that currently sells for 69,000 euros in Germany.

Being “spoiled” by vehicles from premium manufacturers such as Mercedes-Benz and BMW, Sommerfeldt was largely unimpressed with the build quality of the Model 3. In his review, which was published at German publication Welt.de, Sommerfeldt complained about the panel gaps in the car, and he argued that while the white seats of the Model 3 were good, they do not compare favorably to the seats of the Audi e-tron. “The workmanship of body, interior, actually everything, is not up to premium standards,” he wrote. Nevertheless, with his evaluation of the vehicle’s build quality out of the way, the EV critic started driving the electric sedan.

The Tesla Model 3 Performance gets tested in a rally course. (Photo: Team O’Neil Rally School/Facebook)
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It took 50 kilometers (31 miles) before his prejudices against electric cars started to fade. Even with the electric revolution underway today, there is still a persistent belief that EVs don’t drive as well as the best gas-powered vehicles on the market. “What nonsense. The Model 3 drives terrific,” Sommerfeldt declared. German industry expert Ferdinand Dudenhöffer from Center Automotive Research (CAR) highlighted Sommerfeldt’s observations. “The car is much better than all models of electric competition. The technical lead is easily four to five years. Range and driving pleasure are unmatched,” he said.

Elaborating on his experience, Sommerfeldt noted that the Model 3 feels like a sports car, an “extremely fast sports car.” This is quite notable considering that the vehicle is a family car at its core. But it’s not just the vehicle’s driving dynamics that impressed the EV critic. In terms of bleeding-edge technology inside the car, the Model 3 does not disappoint either. Industry expert Stefan Bratzel of the Center of Automotive Management (CAM) noted that the migration of car buyers from traditional vehicles to electric cars like Tesla is due to veterans being unable to offer similar innovations. “The future is offered here (at Tesla), which the Germans have not been able to do so far,” Bratzel said.

The Tesla Model 3’s minimalistic interior. (Credit: Tesla)

Beyond the excellent driving dynamics and the technology in the Model 3, perhaps what really removed the EV critic’s prejudice against electric cars was Tesla’s Supercharger Network. During his time with the vehicle, Sommerfeldt took his family out on a road trip once more, and this time around, they did not have to wait for hours on end for their vehicle to charge. Using one of Tesla’s Superchargers, Sommerfeldt and his family opted for a quick coffee and ice cream break, and by the time they returned to the Model 3, it had already gained 300 km (186 miles) of additional range. Sommerfeldt found the Supercharger Network’s design well-placed for long trips, and the Tesla community as a whole pleasant to interact with.

Dudenhöffer noted that among electric car makers, Tesla is the one that really thought about the big picture when they released their vehicles. Teslas, while not capable of charging at speeds similar to a gas-powered car yet, can charge at their owner’s homes (allowing drivers to leave with a “full tank” every day), and the company has backups in place if the Supercharger Network is unevailable. “Right from the beginning, the company had a clear plan of where its customers’ traffic flows. The Tesla owner can also refuel at all the other pillars of this country. But first of all, it would probably be too slow for him. And second, he does not need them,” he said. This is a particularly notable point for Sommerfeldt, as he admits to having deep range anxiety issues due to his past experiences with EVs. These issues, he found, were nonexistent with the Model 3.

With range anxiety gone thanks to the Supercharger Network and its contingencies, Sommerfeldt noted that Tesla drivers could trust their vehicles once more. And that, for Germany’s car buying public, at least, is a very big deal. “This Tesla destroys all my prejudices against the electric car,” he wrote.

Tesla destroys German critic’s electric car prejudice after Model 3 test drive


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A SpaceX surprise: Falcon Heavy booster landing to smash distance record


In an unexpected last-second change, SpaceX has moved Falcon Heavy Flight 3’s center core landing on drone ship Of Course I Still Love You (OCISLY) from 40 km to more than 1240 km (770 mi) off the coast of Florida.

Drone ship OCISLY is already being towed to the landing site, necessary due to the sheer distance that needs to be covered at a leisurely towing pace. The current record for distance traveled during booster recovery was set at ~970 km by Falcon Heavy center core B1055 in April 2019. If successful, Falcon Heavy center core B1057 will smash that record by almost 30% after sending two dozen spacecraft on their way to orbit. Falcon Heavy Flight 3 is scheduled to lift off in support of the Department of Defense’s Space Test Program 2 (STP-2) mission no earlier than 11:30 pm ET (03:30 UTC), June 24th. A routine static fire test at Pad 39A will (hopefully) set the stage for launch on Wednesday, June 19th.

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This comes as a significant surprise for several reasons. First and foremost, the difference between a center core landing 40 km or 1300 km from the launch site is immense. For Falcon Heavy, the center core shuts down and separates from the rest of the rocket as much as a minute after the rocket’s two side boosters, potentially doubling the booster’s relative velocity at separation.

USAF photographer James Rainier's remote camera captured this spectacular view of Falcon Heavy Block 5 side boosters B1052 and B1053 returning to SpaceX Landing Zones 1 and 2. (USAF - James Rainier)
A return to launch site (RTLS) booster recovery requires a ton of latent performance, particularly for a booster traveling as fast as a Falcon Heavy center core. (USAF – James Rainier)

That extra minute of acceleration means that the center core can easily be 50-100+ km downrange at the point of separation. In other words, landing 40 km offshore aboard drone ship OCISLY would be roughly akin to a full boostback burn, meaning that the center core would need to nullify all of its substantial downrange velocity, turn around, and fly ~50-100 km back towards the launch site. Being able to perform such an aggressive maneuver would indicate that Falcon Heavy’s boost stage has a huge amount of propellant (delta V) remaining after completing its role in the launch.

To have STP-2’s center core recovery moved from 40 km to 1240 km thus indicates an absolutely massive change in the rocket’s mission plan and launch trajectory. For reference, Falcon Heavy Flight 2’s Block 5 center core (B1055) set SpaceX’s current record for recovery distance (970 km/600 mi) after launching Arabsat 6A – a massive ~6500 kg (14,300 lb) satellite – to a spectacularly high transfer orbit of >90,000 km (56,000 mi).

Why so spicy?

There are three obvious possibilities that might help explain why the STP-2 mission has abruptly indicated that it will require SpaceX’s most energetic booster recovery yet.

1. STP-2 is carrying at least 1-2 metric tons worth of mystery payload(s)

This is highly unlikely. The USAF SMC has already released a SpaceX photo showing the late stages of the STP-2 payload stack’s encapsulation inside Falcon Heavy’s payload fairing. Short of an elaborate faked encapsulation followed by the installation of additional mysterious spacecraft or some extremely dense hardware hidden inside, it’s safe to say that the STP-2 payload stack weighs what the USAF says it weighs, which is to say not nearly heavy enough to warrant a record-smashing booster recovery given the known orbital destinations.

The USAF further confirmed that there is no ballast on the stack, removing the possibility of a lead weight or steel boilerplate meant to artificially push Falcon Heavy to its limits.

2. STP-2’s already-challenging Falcon upper stage mission profile is even more exotic than described

Per official mission overviews, it’s already clear that STP-2 could be the most challenging launch ever attempted for SpaceX’s orbital Falcon upper stage. According to SpaceX itself, “STP-2…will be among the most challenging launches in SpaceX history, with four separate upper-stage engine burns, three separate deployment orbits, a final propulsive passivation maneuver, and a total mission duration of over six hours.”

An overview of the STP-2 Falcon Heavy upper stage’s exotic and extremely challenging mission profile. (USAF)

While undeniably challenging, it’s not clear why it would require such a high-energy center core recovery. With a payload mass of just ~3700 kg, Falcon 9 has launched much larger payloads to (relatively) higher orbits, but this fails to account for the added challenge of long coasts and multiple different orbits. Also of note, the above graph (courtesy of a years-old USAF document) appears to disagree with SpaceX’s description of “four… upper-stage burns”, instead showing five burns (red spikes).

More likely than not, OCISLY’s ~1200-kilometer move can be explained largely by the reintroduction of what the above graph describes as the Falcon upper stage’s “disposal burn”, likely referring to a deorbit burn. On top of the delta V already required for the first four burns, it isn’t out of the question that an additional coast and deorbit burn from 6000 km (3700 mi) would push the recovery equation in favor of attempting to incinerate center core B1057.

Falcon Heavy’s upper stage deploys its payload fairing, revealing the STP-2 payload stack. (SpaceX)

3. USAF/DoD conservatism strikes again?

The last plausible explanation for this radical shift is that the US Air Force/Department of Defense (DoD) has decided last-second that they want more margins on top of their already-overflowing safety margins, quite literally pushing B1057 to the edge of its performance envelope to mitigate low-probability failure modes. This has been done to an even more extreme extent with the US Air Force’s recent GPS III SV01 launch, in which SpaceX was forced to expend a new Falcon 9 Block 5 booster to provide the extreme safety margins the USAF desired.

According to the USAF, the STP-2 mission – including launch costs – represents as much as $750M, coincidentally similar to the estimated cost of the GPS III SV01 satellite and an expendable Falcon 9 rocket. As such, it’s not out of the question that a similar level of paranoia/conservatism is in play for STP-2.

Falcon 9 lifts off with the US Air Force’s first ~$500M GPS III spacecraft, December 2018. (SpaceX)

Numbers 2 and 3 are equally plausible explanations for this last-second booster recovery shift. Given the US military’s active involvement, it’s more likely than not that no explanations will be offered. Regardless, this surprise development is bound to result in a truly spectacular recovery attempt for SpaceX’s second Block 5 center core and will likely involve breaking several still-fresh records in the process.

Falcon Heavy Flight 3 is in the middle of rolling out to SpaceX’s Kennedy Space Center Pad 39A launch facilities for a routine pre-launch static fire test, scheduled to occur no earlier than 12:30 pm ET (16:30 UTC), June 19th. If all goes well, SpaceX should be on track for its first STP-2 launch attempt at 11:30 pm ET (03:30 UTC), June 24th.

Check out Teslarati’s newsletters for prompt updates, on-the-ground perspectives, and unique glimpses of SpaceX’s rocket launch and recovery processes.

A SpaceX surprise: Falcon Heavy booster landing to smash distance record


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Tesla rolls out new racing game, releases invites for Tesla Arcade events


Tesla has released a pretty cool and funny commercial for one of its newest in-car features: Tesla Arcade, specifically, Beach Buggy Racing 2, which takes the place of Pole Position, a racing game that was retired a few months back. So what exactly is Tesla Arcade? Based on the video shared by the company, Tesla Arcade is the company’s TeslAtari Easter Egg turned up to 11.

The short clip of Tesla’s new racing game will not look out of place beside some of the most compelling advertisements been released by other carmakers. Later tweets from the official Tesla Twitter account have also indicated that Beach Buggy Racing 2 is starting to roll out to the company’s electric cars today.

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Apart from the release of Beach Buggy Racing 2, Tesla is also inviting interested individuals to try out Tesla Arcade firsthand. “Experience the Tesla Arcade” events will be held in Tesla showrooms from June 18 to 30, 2019, and those who wish to check out the electric car maker’s new in-car gaming capabilities are advised to fill up an RSVP form, which could be accessed here.

“Access the full library of games directly from the vehicle’s touchscreen to play gaming classics like Atari Missile Command and Asteroids – or experience our newest addition, Beach Buggy Racing 2, a kart racing game where you can careen, blast and launch your way through 22 tracks. Players can recruit new drivers (see if you can find our favorite) and use the steering wheel controls for the most immersive gaming experience,” Tesla noted.

Based on the video that Tesla shared on Twitter, as well as the invitations for its in-store Tesla Arcade events, it appears that the company is focusing its efforts on promoting its new racing title. This could be a strategic move for Tesla, as Beach Buggy Racing 2 is arguably the most immersive game that the company currently offers. Other games, such as the upcoming Cuphead and Fallout Shelter, are great titles, but they would likely not involve as much of the vehicles’ actual components (such as the steering wheel and the brake pedal) for their controls.

Tesla’s teaser for Beach Buggy Racing 2 bodes well for the company’s efforts to include more games for its vehicles. The first games that Tesla offered featured classic Atari games such as Lunar Lander, which feature rather simple graphics and gameplay. These new batch of upcoming games, from Beach Buggy Racing 2 to Cuphead to Fallout Shelter, are far more complex, with 3D graphics and likely more immersive sound. With these features, Tesla is all but turning the Model S, 3, and X into some of the world’s coolest gaming consoles, bar none.

Here’s our first look at Tesla’s newest racing game.

Tesla rolls out new racing game, releases invites for Tesla Arcade events


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First Tesla pickup truck comes to life from Model 3 conversion


YouTube influencer and robot-enthusiast Simone Giertz, who commands an impressive 1.6 million followers on the video streaming platform, has taken it upon herself to make her dream vehicle a reality. Giertz’s dream is rather simple: she wants a Tesla that’s a pickup truck, and while Elon Musk has pledged to unveil an actual Tesla Truck later this year, the YouTuber noted that she’s not really very keen on waiting for the yet-to-be-unveiled vehicle. Thus, she decided to just make her own Tesla Truck, or “Truckla,” for short.

Giertz opted to utilize a Model 3 for the project, since the vehicle featured a frame that was easier to work with than a Model S or Model X. A number of designs were considered for the “Truckla,” including a rather humorous one that involved taking off the Model 3’s rear and putting a flatbed in its place. Ultimately, Giertz opted to create a coupe utility vehicle in the spirit of classic muscle cars such as the Chevrolet El Camino. That is, it will be a Model 3 with the top part of its rear taken off.

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The self-described “queen of sh*tty robots” then took on the task of assembling a team of individuals who could help bring the “Truckla” to life. Among these included Bay Area mechanic and artist Marcos Ramirez, Tesla DIY enthusiast Richard Benoit (better known on YouTube as Rich Rebuilds), and German designer/YouTuber Laura Kampf. Through a long journey that involved its own fair share of trial and error, Giertz’s dream vehicle was created. The “Truckla” was born.

The “Truckla” might polarize the EV enthusiast community due to its coupe utility vehicle looks, but the vehicle is an actual pickup truck nonetheless. In a “commercial” for the vehicle, the Model 3 truck could even be seen driving with ease on unpaved roads. There’s a lumber rack with lights, and it has a fully workable bed. Giertz remarked that the endeavor would probably be “the smartest or the most stupid thing I’m ever going to do” when she was introducing the Model 3 pickup truck project. Potentially polarizing looks aside, the fact that the vehicle works, has a bed, and is an actual pickup, makes one inclined to think that it’s the former.

Speaking to The Verge about the project, the YouTuber noted that the “Truckla,” despite its humorous and near crazy connotations, is a vehicle that she really wanted. “I really hope that people don’t just think of this as an obnoxious YouTuber cutting up a brand new car. This process has destructive steps, but the end goal is constructive. And I’m doing it because I really, really want this car. This is truly my dream car,” she said.

Watch Giertz’s commercial for her DIY Model 3 pickup truck in the video below.

And here’s the long journey of the “Truckla” from regular Model 3 to, well, a pickup truck.

First Tesla pickup truck comes to life from Model 3 conversion


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