LNG: TESLARATI

A recent announcement from a Shanghai official has revealed that the Chinese government will be building a Tesla Parts Industrial Park to support Gigafactory 3’s operations.

The update from China was related by Zhao Guangjun, the deputy director of the Comprehensive Planning Department of the Shanghai Economic and Information Technology Commission. The industrial park will be constructed at the Fengxian District of Shanghai, which is just around 31 miles away from the Lingang Industrial Zone, where Gigafactory 3 is being built, according to local financial news agency JRJ.com.

Having an industrial park in relatively close proximity to Gigafactory 3 will make Tesla’s electric car production much more efficient. With its supply chain nearby, Tesla would be able to perform adjustments to its operations as necessary. This, if any, gives Tesla a level of flexibility that is not present in its operations in the United States. 

Zhao’s announcement stands as yet another indication of China’s full support for Tesla and its electric vehicle production operations in Gigafactory 3. The Chinese government has proven to be quite supportive of Tesla, allowing Gigafactory 3 to be solely-owned by the electric car maker and even helping the company acquire the initial funding for the facility. Even Tesla’s construction partner, China Construction Third Engineering Bureau Co., Ltd., is a subsidiary of the government-owned firm China Construction. 

The Asian economic superpower’s open support for Tesla could be rooted in the country’s aggressive plan to embrace sustainable transportation and renewable energy. China aims to sell 7 million electric or electrified vehicles annually by 2025, and the presence of locally-made Model 3 and Model Y from Gigafactory 3 could provide a boost to the local EV market. In a previous statement to Xinhua News, Cui Dongshu, secretary general of the China Passenger Car Association, noted that “Tesla’s China production will have a ‘catfish effect’ in the country’s auto industry, pushing domestic carmakers to speed up their technological upgrading.”

Tesla’s Gigafactory 3 buildout is on track to potentially set records among China’s fastest industrial-scale construction projects. After the facility completed its Phase 1 buildout in May, the factory underwent ground hardening in June. These will be followed by pipeline communication, equipment stationing, equipment commissioning, and finally, trial electric car production runs. Barring any unexpected delays, Tesla could start producing its first Gigafactory 3-made Model 3 batches as early as September.

BMW CEO Harald Krüger has always preferred to work in the background. Content to leave the stage for others, Krüger has mostly led BMW in an almost understated manner. Yet, in a recent meeting with German Chancellor Angela Merkel and fellow executives from rivals Volkswagen and Daimler, the CEO proved assertive, announcing that BMW will be looking to sell around 300,000 electric and electrified vehicles annually by 2021.

Krüger’s assertive stance on EVs is likely due to pressures that BMW is feeling in the electric vehicle market, which has, in more ways than one, started affecting the security of the CEO’s post. The 53-year-old BMW executive’s contract expires in May 2020, and theoretically, the company’s Supervisory Board could extend it. Unfortunately, reports are now emerging that Krüger’s contract as BMW’s chief executive might not be extended anymore, according to information gathered by German news agency Handelsblatt.

Amidst BMW’s current challenges, the publication alleges that the automaker no longer considers an extension of Krüger’s CEO contract as the most plausible scenario in the near future. Talks of tensions in BMW’s leadership have emerged, and an insider has even noted that there is “high pressure in the boiler.” If Krüger is not able to keep his CEO post, two board members are reportedly set to take over his seat: the ambitious Head of Development Klaus Fröhlich and the more tempered Oliver Zipse, who took over BMW’s production department from Krüger back in 2015.

BMW is currently facing a number of challenges. The company has initiated a group-wide “hiring freeze,” and the CEO’s critics were quick to point out that despite BMW’s “biggest model offensive in the company’s history,” sales have stagnated. Over the past nine months, the German automaker surprised with two profit warnings, and margins for its vehicles are under pressure. Krüger, for his part, remained cautiously optimistic, stating that “In the second half of the year, we expect a tailwind” amid the upcoming release of large vehicles like the BMW X7 SUV.

Hiring freezes and poor sales aside, one thing that has notably irked the German automaker’s shareholders is its poor electric vehicle strategy. In 2013, Krüger’s predecessor, Norbert Reithofer, launched the BMW i3, a curiously futuristic electric car that was compared to the Tesla Model S. BMW has not released a pure battery-electric vehicle since then. Jaguar has started its push with the I-PACE, Audi has released the e-tron, and Mercedes-Benz has already unveiled the EQC. BMW’s iX3, on the other hand, won’t be ready for at least another year. Speaking to the publication, a competitor noted that “BMW was ahead, now they are suspended.”

The emergence of Tesla as a player in the premium sedan market has also become a painful pill to swallow for BMW. With its international rollout, the Tesla Model 3 continued to hack away at the sales of BMW’s iconic 3-Series sedan. Tests from publications such as Top Gear, which have been traditionally pro-petrol in the past, have also recognized the Silicon Valley-made Model 3 as superior in more ways than one to a BMW. Tesla’s rise has not escaped the attention of BMW’s investors, who appear to be getting quite impatient with the German automaker’s delayed, if not half-hearted EV strategy.

These sentiments were expressed during BMW’s annual shareholder meeting in May. Addressing the company, shareholder protector Daniela Bergdolt did not mince words. “I now expect an electric offensive that sweeps Tesla off the table,” she said, and the company did not really have a strong response. There’s the i4 and the iNext, but both vehicles don’t currently have a concrete release date. The impressive BMW Vision M Next, which was recently revealed, is also an eye-catching concept vehicle, but it still remains to be seen if or when the car will enter production.

Tesla is reportedly working on developing a means to produce its own battery cells for its electric vehicles and energy storage products. This update, which was related by several former and current Tesla employees to CNBC, provides yet another sign that the Silicon Valley-based company is looking to become as independent and vertically integrated as possible.

According to the publication’s sources, Tesla is currently conducting some of its battery cell research at a “skunkworks lab” located in the company’s Kato Road facility, which is situated just a few minutes away from the Fremont, CA factory, where the Model S, 3, and X are produced. The former and current employees also mentioned that Tesla’s battery R&D teams are focused on prototyping and designing advanced lithium-ion batteries, together with new equipment and processes that could open the doors for battery cell mass production.

Numerous advantages could result from Tesla producing its battery cells. The company, for one, could avoid constraints that have plagued it in the past. Having its own cell design could also lower costs, allowing the company to introduce vehicles that are more affordable than the Standard Range Model 3, while giving a performance and range boost for the company’s vehicle lineup.

The publication’s sources did not mention if Tesla is integrating or utilizing some of Maxwell’s technologies in its original battery cell design and manufacturing plans. Nevertheless, Musk did note during Tesla’s annual shareholder meeting that it would be holding a battery and powertrain day later this year to explain how Maxwell’s innovations will be utilized.

Tesla CTO JB Straubel and VP for Technology Drew Baglino, who joined Musk onstage during the shareholder meeting, also spoke about the company’s need to secure large-scale battery cell production. “It’s more obvious now than I think it ever was, we need a large-scale solution to cell production,” Straubel said. In a following comment, Baglino added that “We’re not sitting idly by. We’re taking all the moves required to be masters of our own destiny here, technologically and otherwise. I think through all the experience we’ve developed with partners and otherwise, we will have solutions for this.”

While Tesla’s production of its battery cells would make it more independent of Panasonic, the two companies would likely retain a partnership for years to come. The Japanese firm, after all, has already invested heavily in Gigafactory 1, and during a previous Q&A session, Panasonic Corporation President Kazuhiro Tsuga debunked speculations alleging that the company’s partnership with Tesla is on the rocks. “We are making sure that we have a partnership relationship, not a supplier relationship… We continue to have (a) very solid, very strong relationship with Tesla,” Tsuga said.

A recently leaked email from Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk suggests that while the company has more than enough demand to meet its ambitious, self-imposed targets for the second quarter, Q2’s final results will likely come down to logistics and final deliveries. The leaked email, a copy of which was acquired by Bloomberg, was sent to Tesla employees on Tuesday.

In his message, Musk noted that Tesla is very close to setting a record in terms of the number of vehicles delivered in a single quarter. Tesla’s record was set in the fourth quarter of 2018, when the company delivered 90,700 vehicles to customers in a delivery blitz that saw employees and volunteers hand over electric cars to new customers well into the end of December.

Following is the full text of Elon Musk’s recently leaked email to Tesla employees.

“As you may have noticed, there is a lot of speculation regarding our vehicle deliveries this quarter. The reality is that we are on track to set an all-time record, but it will be very close. However, if we go all out, we can definitely do it! We already have enough vehicle orders to set a record, but the right cars are not yet all in the right locations. Logistics and final delivery are extremely important, as well as finding demand for vehicle variants that are available locally, but can’t reach people who ordered that variant before end of quarter. I have great faith in you. Please let me know if there is anything I can do to help. Thanks, Elon”

Tesla is yet to issue a statement about the contents of the recently leaked email.

Vehicle deliveries have proven to be a challenge for Tesla in the past. During the first quarter, it was the company’s delivery delays and difficulties that ultimately resulted in over 10,000 vehicles being in transit at the end of March. It was also delivery challenges that sparked the Tesla community’s initiative to help the company out during its end-of-quarter pushes.

Tesla’s second-quarter results will likely have the potential to affect the negative narrative surrounding the electric car maker. Since posting lower-than-expected delivery and production figures in the Q1 2019, Tesla critics have insisted on the idea that demand for the Model S, X, and 3 have been exhausted, or at most, overestimated. Musk, for his part, has directly addressed these concerns, assuring investors during the annual shareholder meeting that there is more than enough demand for the company’s electric cars.

Amidst Tesla’s end-of-Q2 push, Oppenheimer analyst Colin Rusch has reiterated his “Outperform” rating on the company. “We continue to believe TSLA is likely selling higher-end Model 3’s with sufficiently robust ASP’s and GM to drive shares higher when it announces 2Q:19 deliveries next week. We believe strong sell-through in the US/EU will support deliveries in 2Q/3Q, and we note that in China sales support for 2H19 remains a key uncertain variable in the debate on TSLA valuation,” Rusch wrote.

As of writing, Tesla stock is trading +1.13% at $222.25 per share.

Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.

Tesla shares (NASDAQ:TSLA) are proving quite resilient amidst a new round of skepticism from Wall Street. Just recently, Credit Suisse initiated coverage of Tesla, giving the electric car maker an “underperform” rating over what the firm believed would be the company’s difficulties when veteran automakers like Volkswagen enter the electric vehicle market.

Credit Suisse analyst Dan Levy started his TSLA coverage with a $189 price target for the company, which is about 15% lower than the stock’s closing price on Wednesday. Levy noted that his “underperform” rating is based on the argument that TSLA stock does not reflect key profit risks at its current levels. The analyst added that while Tesla is indeed leading in areas like electrification and software that will “define the future of carmaking,” it is likely to “settle as niche carmaker” amidst the arrival of more experienced competitors.

The Credit Suisse analyst noted that Volkswagen is the very definition of an industry incumbent, being around in the market for a very long time. The company also sold over 40 times Tesla’s volume in 2018, showing the vast gap between the two companies. With these in mind, Levy stated that Tesla is a “small newcomer to an industry which has historically had extremely high barriers to entry.”

“To best understand Tesla’s prospects in its push for electric vehicles (EV) proliferation, we believe it’s worthwhile to compare it to an auto industry incumbent – most appropriately Volkswagen (VW)… With both Tesla and VW committed to EV proliferation, the Tesla vs. VW debate could be relevant for the next decade or more. Both automakers are treating the long-term industry shift to vehicle electrification as an existential matter. Yet they are coming from vastly different positions… Tesla currently leads in areas that will likely define the future of carmaking. Yet it faces risks ahead – reflected in our below-consensus estimates. And despite growth ahead, we believe Tesla is likely to settle as a niche automaker,” Levy wrote.

Quite interestingly, Credit Suisse also initiated coverage on two American automakers: Ford and GM. Both veteran companies received an “outperform” rating from the analyst, describing Ford as a company showing “early signs of improvement with more to come” and GM as “one of the best players in our coverage.” For his part, Levy noted that despite his “underperform” rating on TSLA and the myriad challenges facing the company, Tesla “deserves due credit.”

Tesla is currently conducting its end-of-quarter push, delivering as many vehicles to customers before the end of June. A recently-leaked email from Elon Musk has also indicated that the company is “on track” to set records this quarter, but the company needs to “go all out” in order to complete vehicle deliveries.

As of writing, Tesla stock is trading +0.11% at $219.51 per share.

Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.