Tesla (TSLA) has risen 40% in one month, and it may just be getting started

Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA) currently has a lot of momentum. Following the release of its blockbuster third-quarter results, TSLA shares have been in an upward trend, with the company’s stock rising 40% higher since October, turning TSLA positive for 2019 in the process.  

Tesla stock’s performance this 2019 is something that can only be described as remarkable. Over the year, the electric car maker’s shares have dipped to over two-year lows, only to surge past the $300 mark once more following the release of its third-quarter earnings, which beat Wall Street’s expectations. 

TSLA’s 40% rally is already impressive, but according to Ari Wald, head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer, there may be more upside for the electric car maker. In a statement to CNBC, the analyst stated that equity markets today are breaking higher in a manner that is very similar to late 2016, and this could play into Tesla’s favor. 

“The key positive for Tesla here is that macro conditions are supportive here — that equity markets are breaking higher in a very similar way that they did in late 2016 — and I bring this up because this is the last time we’ve seen this type of strength in Tesla where it’s really just surging higher to the upside. Now if you look at that period in 2016 and 2017, Tesla ultimately topped out at about $385, and I think that’s the long-term level to watch. The stock isn’t there yet so I wouldn’t bet against it,” said Wald. 

Wald further noted that at its current levels, Tesla could rally an additional 11% more and it would reach its all-time-high of $385 per share. That would also mark the electric car maker’s stock’s highest level since August 2018. Nevertheless, Wald did state that Tesla’s stock is volatile by nature, which means that investors are best advised to remain cautious. 

“However, you can also see from that chart, very erratic behavior up and down so after a [more than] 30% rip over the last month, not one we’d be highlighting as a tactical idea either,” Wald added.

Considering recent updates from the electric car maker, it appears that Tesla may have a pretty good chance at ending the fourth quarter of 2019 on a high note. For one, the electric car production facility at Gigafactory 3 in Shanghai has been completed, which means that Tesla could start delivering the Made-in-China Model 3 to local customers before the year is done. Tesla is also preparing to unveil the Cybertruck, a vehicle that Elon Musk noted may very well be the company’s best EV yet. These, together with Elon Musk’s announcement of Gigafactory 4 in Berlin, could further help foster more positive sentiments for the electric car maker.

Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.

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